Auto Trader Group plc

OTCPK:ATDR.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$9.5b

Auto Trader Group Valuation

Is ATDR.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ATDR.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ATDR.F ($10.51) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($9.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ATDR.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ATDR.F?

Key metric: As ATDR.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ATDR.F. This is calculated by dividing ATDR.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ATDR.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.7x
EarningsUK£279.70m
Market CapUK£7.45b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ATDR.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ATDR.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.3x
MTCH Match Group
13.1x10.0%US$8.2b
BZ Kanzhun
27.9x21.1%US$5.3b
NBIS Nebius Group
21.4xn/aUS$4.5b
PINS Pinterest
94.9x34.3%US$21.0b
ATDR.F Auto Trader Group
26.7x8.2%US$7.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ATDR.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the peer average (39.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ATDR.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Interactive Media and Services Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YALA Yalla Group
5x5.9%US$665.66m
CHR Cheer Holding
0.8xn/aUS$25.41m
MI NFT
3.8xn/aUS$18.77m
No more companies available in this PE range
ATDR.F 26.7xIndustry Avg. 22.2xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ATDR.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the US Interactive Media and Services industry average (22.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ATDR.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ATDR.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ATDR.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ATDR.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$10.51
US$10.55
+0.4%
13.0%US$13.11US$8.19n/a19
Nov ’25US$11.67
US$11.05
-5.3%
13.7%US$13.44US$8.40n/a18
Oct ’25US$11.48
US$11.25
-2.0%
12.8%US$13.38US$8.69n/a18
Sep ’25n/a
US$10.44
0%
13.9%US$12.69US$7.87n/a18
Aug ’25n/a
US$10.58
0%
14.6%US$12.91US$8.00n/a18
Jul ’25n/a
US$10.24
0%
14.1%US$12.64US$7.84n/a18
Jun ’25n/a
US$9.85
0%
14.7%US$12.74US$7.90n/a20
May ’25US$8.57
US$9.24
+7.7%
12.6%US$11.20US$7.57n/a20
Apr ’25n/a
US$9.20
0%
12.5%US$11.29US$7.63n/a20
Mar ’25n/a
US$9.14
0%
12.6%US$11.37US$7.74n/a19
Feb ’25n/a
US$9.19
0%
12.5%US$11.44US$7.79n/a19
Jan ’25n/a
US$8.98
0%
10.9%US$10.83US$7.69n/a20
Dec ’24n/a
US$9.01
0%
11.1%US$10.96US$7.11n/a20
Nov ’24n/a
US$8.36
0%
10.0%US$10.15US$6.74US$11.6718
Oct ’24n/a
US$8.42
0%
9.9%US$10.20US$6.77US$11.4819
Sep ’24US$7.60
US$8.66
+13.9%
10.8%US$10.15US$6.07n/a21
Aug ’24n/a
US$8.66
0%
10.8%US$10.15US$6.07n/a21
Jul ’24n/a
US$8.67
0%
9.7%US$9.88US$6.05n/a22
Jun ’24n/a
US$8.20
0%
13.3%US$9.69US$5.07n/a22
May ’24n/a
US$8.15
0%
11.7%US$9.60US$5.03US$8.5721
Apr ’24n/a
US$7.82
0%
12.3%US$9.27US$4.88n/a21
Mar ’24n/a
US$7.82
0%
12.3%US$9.27US$4.88n/a21
Feb ’24n/a
US$8.03
0%
11.9%US$9.53US$5.46n/a21
Jan ’24n/a
US$7.74
0%
11.0%US$9.42US$5.40n/a22
Dec ’23n/a
US$7.52
0%
12.5%US$9.29US$5.32n/a23
Nov ’23n/a
US$7.30
0%
14.7%US$8.96US$4.80n/a23

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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