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Ascential Valuation

Is AIAP.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AIAP.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AIAP.F ($7.34) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($7.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AIAP.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AIAP.F?

Key metric: As AIAP.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AIAP.F. This is calculated by dividing AIAP.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AIAP.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	29.1x
Earnings	UK£39.80m
Market Cap	UK£1.16b

AIAP.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	28.4x
PEG Ratio	1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AIAP.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AIAP.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	25x
CRTO Criteo	22.2x	16.2%	US$2.3b
PUBM PubMatic	44x	-3.2%	US$761.9m
NCMI National CineMedia	n/a	107.0%	US$659.7m
PERI Perion Network	8.8x	-63.1%	US$413.3m
AIAP.F Ascential	29.1x	17.5%	US$1.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AIAP.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x) compared to the peer average (16.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AIAP.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Media Industry?

7 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
DISH DISH Network	2.5x	-71.9%	US$3.08b
GTN Gray Television	2.8x	-29.4%	US$428.95m
ABLV Able View Global	3.9x	n/a	US$37.06m
ANTE AirNet Technology	0.2x	n/a	US$5.99m

7 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AIAP.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x) compared to the US Media industry average (13.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AIAP.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AIAP.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	29.1x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AIAP.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AIAP.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	n/a	US$6.86 0%	12.2%	US$7.30	US$5.19	n/a	5
Nov ’25	n/a	US$6.86 0%	12.2%	US$7.30	US$5.19	n/a	5
Oct ’25	n/a	US$6.86 0%	12.2%	US$7.30	US$5.19	n/a	5
Sep ’25	n/a	US$6.86 0%	12.2%	US$7.30	US$5.19	n/a	5
Aug ’25	n/a	US$6.89 0%	12.2%	US$7.33	US$5.21	n/a	5
Jul ’25	n/a	US$5.34 0%	19.1%	US$7.74	US$4.61	n/a	7
Jun ’25	n/a	US$6.04 0%	28.4%	US$7.92	US$3.33	n/a	7
May ’25	US$6.68	US$6.92 +3.6%	13.1%	US$7.83	US$5.47	n/a	4
Apr ’25	n/a	US$6.92 0%	13.1%	US$7.83	US$5.47	n/a	4
Mar ’25	n/a	US$6.99 0%	6.3%	US$7.78	US$6.61	n/a	5
Feb ’25	n/a	US$6.99 0%	6.3%	US$7.78	US$6.61	n/a	5
Jan ’25	n/a	US$6.99 0%	6.3%	US$7.78	US$6.61	n/a	5
Dec ’24	n/a	US$6.99 0%	6.3%	US$7.78	US$6.61	n/a	5
Nov ’24	n/a	US$6.99 0%	11.5%	US$7.64	US$5.37	n/a	6
Oct ’24	n/a	US$6.41 0%	16.4%	US$7.68	US$4.77	n/a	7
Sep ’24	n/a	US$6.78 0%	15.4%	US$7.93	US$5.00	n/a	7
Aug ’24	n/a	US$6.96 0%	14.4%	US$8.15	US$5.14	n/a	8
Jul ’24	n/a	US$6.77 0%	12.7%	US$7.93	US$5.21	n/a	9
Jun ’24	n/a	US$6.60 0%	12.8%	US$7.93	US$5.08	n/a	10
May ’24	n/a	US$6.60 0%	12.8%	US$7.93	US$5.08	US$6.68	10
Apr ’24	n/a	US$6.57 0%	13.8%	US$8.39	US$5.03	n/a	10
Mar ’24	n/a	US$6.40 0%	14.4%	US$8.19	US$4.71	n/a	10
Feb ’24	US$5.69	US$6.62 +16.3%	15.6%	US$8.38	US$4.82	n/a	10
Jan ’24	n/a	US$6.97 0%	19.2%	US$9.20	US$4.76	n/a	11
Dec ’23	n/a	US$6.91 0%	19.5%	US$9.15	US$4.73	n/a	11

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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