Stock Analysis

Tencent Music Entertainment Group's (NYSE:TME) 25% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Earnings

NYSE:TME
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Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 64% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, given around half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may still consider Tencent Music Entertainment Group as a stock to potentially avoid with its 21.5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

Tencent Music Entertainment Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Tencent Music Entertainment Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:TME Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 20th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Tencent Music Entertainment Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Growth For Tencent Music Entertainment Group?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Tencent Music Entertainment Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 22% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 44% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 18% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Tencent Music Entertainment Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

Despite the recent share price weakness, Tencent Music Entertainment Group's P/E remains higher than most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Tencent Music Entertainment Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Tencent Music Entertainment Group with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

You might be able to find a better investment than Tencent Music Entertainment Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tencent Music Entertainment Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.