Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Roblox Corporation (NYSE:RBLX)?

NYSE:RBLX
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Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Roblox Corporation (NYSE:RBLX). The company's stock saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Roblox’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Roblox

What Is Roblox Worth?

According to my valuation model, Roblox seems to be fairly priced at around 13% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Roblox today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $49.79, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Roblox’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Roblox generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:RBLX Earnings and Revenue Growth December 14th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Roblox, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting earnings growth of 7.5%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in RBLX’s future outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on RBLX, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Roblox you should know about.

If you are no longer interested in Roblox, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.