Stock Analysis

Is IMAX (NYSE:IMAX) A Risky Investment?

NYSE:IMAX
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that IMAX Corporation (NYSE:IMAX) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for IMAX

What Is IMAX's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 IMAX had US$297.5m of debt, an increase on US$258.6m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$81.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$216.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:IMAX Debt to Equity History June 19th 2024

How Strong Is IMAX's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that IMAX had liabilities of US$105.3m due within a year, and liabilities of US$385.4m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$81.0m as well as receivables valued at US$266.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$143.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, IMAX has a market capitalization of US$825.2m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

IMAX's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.4 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 12.1 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Pleasingly, IMAX is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 157% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine IMAX's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Considering the last three years, IMAX actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

Both IMAX's ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow. Considering this range of data points, we think IMAX is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for IMAX (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.