Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) - Share price, News & Analysis

GENI fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	3/6
Future Growth	2/6
Past Performance	0/6
Financial Health	4/6
Dividends	0/6

GENI Stock Overview

Genius Sports Limited develops and sells technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries.

Rewards

Trading at 88.8% below our estimate of its fair value

Revenue is forecast to grow 22.52% per year

Risk Analysis

Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years

Volatile share price over the past 3 months

Shareholders have been diluted in the past year

Genius Sports Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Genius Sports
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	US$2.78
52 Week High	US$24.14
52 Week Low	US$2.31
Beta	0
1 Month Change	-5.44%
3 Month Change	-38.63%
1 Year Change	-85.05%
3 Year Change	n/a
5 Year Change	n/a
Change since IPO	-72.20%

Shareholder Returns

	GENI	US Interactive Media and Services	US Market
7D	9.0%	6.8%	6.6%
1Y	-85.0%	-44.8%	-18.4%

Return vs Industry: GENI underperformed the US Interactive Media and Services industry which returned -44.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GENI underperformed the US Market which returned -18.4% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is GENI's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GENI volatility
GENI Average Weekly Movement	13.2%
Interactive Media and Services Industry Average Movement	11.3%
Market Average Movement	8.1%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market	16.6%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market	3.2%

Stable Share Price: GENI is more volatile than 75% of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 13% a week.

Volatility Over Time: GENI's weekly volatility (13%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of US stocks.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
n/a	2,300	Mark Locke	https://www.geniussports.com

Genius Sports Limited develops and sells technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries. It offers technology infrastructure for the collection, integration, and distribution of live data of sports leagues; streaming solutions comprising technology, automatic production, and distribution for sports to commercialize video footage of their games; and end-to-end integrity services to sports leagues, such as full-time active monitoring technology, which uses mathematical algorithms to identify and flag suspicious betting activity in global betting markets, as well as a full suite of online and offline educational and consultancy services. The company also provides live sports data collection; pre-game and in-game odds feeds; risk management services, including customer profiling, monitoring of incoming bets, automated acceptance and rejection of bets, and limit setting; live streaming services; creation, delivery, and measurement services for personalized online marketing campaigns; and fan engagement widgets for digital publishers that offer live game statistics and betting-related content.

Genius Sports Fundamentals Summary

How do Genius Sports's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GENI fundamental statistics
Market Cap	US$550.43m
Earnings (TTM)	-US$627.63m
Revenue (TTM)	US$294.92m

1.9x

P/S Ratio

-0.9x

P/E Ratio

Is GENI overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
GENI income statement (TTM)
Revenue	US$294.92m
Cost of Revenue	US$537.43m
Gross Profit	-US$242.51m
Other Expenses	US$385.12m
Earnings	-US$627.63m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2022

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	-3.17
Gross Margin	-82.23%
Net Profit Margin	-212.81%
Debt/Equity Ratio	2.2%

How did GENI perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Valuation

Is GENI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
PEG Ratio

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GENI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for GENI. This is calculated by dividing GENI's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is GENI's n/a Ratio?
n/a Ratio	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	US$550.43m

GENI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-0.7x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GENI's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

GENI PS Ratio vs Peers

The above table shows the PS ratio for GENI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	0.9x

Forward PS

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GENI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GENI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the U.S. Interactive Media and Services Industry?

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GENI is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the US Interactive Media and Services industry average (2x)

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GENI's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GENI PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	1.9x
Fair PS Ratio	0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: GENI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GENI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GENI ($2.78) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($24.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GENI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GENI's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.

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Future Growth

How is Genius Sports forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 9 analysts?

Future Growth Score

2/6

Future Growth Score 2/6

Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Future ROE

45.8%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GENI is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: GENI is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: GENI is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GENI's revenue (22.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GENI's revenue (22.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GENI is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

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Past Performance

How has Genius Sports performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

0/6

Past Performance Score 0/6

Quality Earnings
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings Trend
Accelerating Growth
Earnings vs Industry
High ROE

-79.9%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: GENI is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: GENI is currently unprofitable.

Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: GENI is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 79.9% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare GENI's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: GENI is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Interactive Media and Services industry (-37.6%).

Return on Equity

High ROE: GENI has a negative Return on Equity (-90.82%), as it is currently unprofitable.

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Financial Health

How is Genius Sports's financial position?

Financial Health Score

4/6

Financial Health Score 4/6

Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Debt Level
Reducing Debt
Stable Cash Runway
Forecast Cash Runway

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: GENI's short term assets ($294.0M) exceed its short term liabilities ($134.3M).

Long Term Liabilities: GENI's short term assets ($294.0M) exceed its long term liabilities ($34.4M).

Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: GENI has more cash than its total debt.

Reducing Debt: Insufficient data to determine if GENI's debt to equity ratio has reduced over the past 5 years.

Balance Sheet

Cash Runway Analysis

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

Stable Cash Runway: GENI has sufficient cash runway for more than a year based on its current free cash flow.

Forecast Cash Runway: Insufficient data to determine if GENI has enough cash runway if its free cash flow continues to grow or shrink based on historical rates.

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Dividend

What is Genius Sports's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

0/6

Dividend Score 0/6

Notable Dividend
High Dividend
Stable Dividend
Growing Dividend
Earnings Coverage
Future Dividend Coverage

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate GENI's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate GENI's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if GENI's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if GENI's dividend payments have been increasing.

Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.

Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as GENI has not reported any payouts.

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Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

1.8yrs

Average management tenure

CEO

Mark Locke (41 yo)

1.5yrs

Tenure

Mr. Mark Locke serves as Chief Executive Officer at Genius Sports Limited since December 2020 and also serves as its Director since March 2021. Mr. Locke is Co-Founder of Genius Sports Limited. He serves a...

Leadership Team

Experienced Management: GENI's management team is not considered experienced ( 1.8 years average tenure), which suggests a new team.

Board Members

Experienced Board: GENI's board of directors are not considered experienced ( 2.5 years average tenure), which suggests a new board.

Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?

Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 9.6%.

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2022/06/26 00:00
End of Day Share Price	2022/06/24 00:00
Earnings	2022/03/31
Annual Earnings	2021/12/31