Stock Analysis

The Market Lifts Scienjoy Holding Corporation (NASDAQ:SJ) Shares 30% But It Can Do More

NasdaqCM:SJ
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Scienjoy Holding Corporation (NASDAQ:SJ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 30% share price jump in the last month. But the last month did very little to improve the 75% share price decline over the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Scienjoy Holding may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Entertainment industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.3x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Scienjoy Holding

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:SJ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 2nd 2024

What Does Scienjoy Holding's Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Scienjoy Holding's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Scienjoy Holding.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Scienjoy Holding's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 25%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 20% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 39% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 11%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Scienjoy Holding's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Scienjoy Holding's P/S

Despite Scienjoy Holding's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

To us, it seems Scienjoy Holding currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Scienjoy Holding (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Scienjoy Holding, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Scienjoy Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.