Stock Analysis

What Is Reservoir Media, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RSVR) Share Price Doing?

NasdaqGM:RSVR
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Reservoir Media, Inc. (NASDAQ:RSVR), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NASDAQGM over the last few months, increasing to US$7.35 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$5.57. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Reservoir Media's current trading price of US$5.80 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Reservoir Media’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Reservoir Media

What's The Opportunity In Reservoir Media?

Reservoir Media is currently expensive based on my price multiple model, where I look at the company's price-to-earnings ratio in comparison to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Reservoir Media’s ratio of 44.24x is above its peer average of 27.04x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Entertainment industry. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that Reservoir Media’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will Reservoir Media generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGM:RSVR Earnings and Revenue Growth March 14th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Reservoir Media's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 24%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? RSVR’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe RSVR should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on RSVR for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for RSVR, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Reservoir Media at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Reservoir Media and you'll want to know about this.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.