Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) Might Be Difficult

NasdaqGS:NFLX
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Netflix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NFLX) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 48.6x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 17x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Netflix has been doing quite well of late. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Netflix

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:NFLX Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 30th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Netflix's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Netflix's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Netflix's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 21%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 100% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 27% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Netflix is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Netflix's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Netflix with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

You might be able to find a better investment than Netflix. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Netflix is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.