Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Hello Group (NASDAQ:MOMO) Is Using Debt Safely

NasdaqGS:MOMO
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Hello Group Inc. (NASDAQ:MOMO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Hello Group

How Much Debt Does Hello Group Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hello Group had debt of CN¥2.17b at the end of December 2023, a reduction from CN¥2.65b over a year. However, it does have CN¥6.89b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥4.72b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:MOMO Debt to Equity History April 8th 2024

How Healthy Is Hello Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Hello Group had liabilities of CN¥2.09b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.15b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥6.89b in cash and CN¥208.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥2.86b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus liquidity suggests that Hello Group's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Succinctly put, Hello Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

On top of that, Hello Group grew its EBIT by 42% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hello Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Hello Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Hello Group recorded free cash flow worth 73% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Hello Group has net cash of CN¥4.72b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 42% over the last year. The bottom line is that we do not find Hello Group's debt levels at all concerning. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Hello Group has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hello Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.