Hello Group Inc.

NasdaqGS:MOMO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$927.1m

Hello Group Valuation

Is MOMO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MOMO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$6.48
Fair Value
11.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: MOMO ($5.72) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($6.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MOMO is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MOMO?

Key metric: As MOMO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MOMO. This is calculated by dividing MOMO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MOMO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.6x
EarningsCN¥1.04b
Market CapCN¥6.76b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MOMO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MOMO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.3x
EVER EverQuote
25.3x14.9%US$807.0m
VMEO Vimeo
32x23.0%US$827.6m
GETY Getty Images Holdings
19.3x18.4%US$759.1m
YALA Yalla Group
8.7x5.1%US$1.2b
MOMO Hello Group
6.6x5.1%US$927.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MOMO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the peer average (21.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MOMO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Interactive Media and Services Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CHR Cheer Holding
0.5xn/aUS$13.23m
DUO Fangdd Network Group
2.6xn/aUS$10.00m
MI NFT
1.8xn/aUS$8.34m
No more companies available in this PE range
MOMO 6.6xIndustry Avg. 17.1xNo. of Companies5PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MOMO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the US Interactive Media and Services industry average (17.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MOMO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MOMO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.6x
Fair PE Ratio13.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MOMO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MOMO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$5.72
US$9.18
+60.5%
22.0%US$13.01US$7.01n/a8
Apr ’26US$6.27
US$9.18
+46.4%
22.0%US$13.01US$7.01n/a8
Mar ’26US$7.37
US$8.47
+15.0%
23.2%US$12.95US$6.49n/a8
Feb ’26US$7.19
US$7.96
+10.7%
24.8%US$12.86US$6.00n/a10
Jan ’26US$7.71
US$7.99
+3.6%
25.1%US$12.94US$5.83n/a10
Dec ’25US$6.73
US$7.43
+10.5%
26.8%US$12.95US$5.48n/a11
Nov ’25US$7.10
US$7.52
+6.0%
27.3%US$12.96US$5.49n/a11
Oct ’25US$7.86
US$7.49
-4.8%
26.8%US$13.15US$5.57n/a12
Sep ’25US$6.64
US$7.53
+13.4%
33.9%US$14.95US$5.48n/a12
Aug ’25US$6.63
US$7.53
+13.5%
33.9%US$14.95US$5.48n/a12
Jul ’25US$6.13
US$7.53
+22.8%
33.9%US$14.96US$5.49n/a12
Jun ’25US$5.64
US$8.61
+52.7%
34.6%US$15.02US$5.51n/a12
May ’25US$5.89
US$9.07
+54.2%
31.6%US$15.91US$6.16n/a12
Apr ’25US$6.30
US$9.35
+48.4%
31.4%US$15.95US$6.18US$6.2712
Mar ’25US$6.85
US$11.33
+65.3%
33.9%US$21.94US$7.83US$7.3711
Feb ’25US$5.86
US$11.44
+95.3%
33.9%US$22.09US$7.88US$7.1911
Jan ’25US$6.95
US$11.43
+64.4%
33.8%US$22.01US$7.90US$7.7111
Dec ’24US$6.55
US$11.67
+78.2%
31.6%US$21.92US$7.99US$6.7311
Nov ’24US$7.07
US$11.90
+68.3%
32.3%US$21.88US$7.92US$7.1013
Oct ’24US$6.98
US$11.90
+70.5%
32.3%US$21.88US$7.92US$7.8613
Sep ’24US$8.65
US$11.85
+37.0%
31.8%US$22.01US$7.97US$6.6414
Aug ’24US$10.64
US$11.89
+11.8%
30.9%US$21.70US$8.01US$6.6314
Jul ’24US$9.61
US$11.92
+24.1%
31.6%US$21.91US$8.08US$6.1314
Jun ’24US$8.56
US$11.29
+31.9%
33.6%US$20.48US$7.31US$5.6414
May ’24US$8.28
US$11.25
+35.9%
34.4%US$20.92US$7.47US$5.8915
Apr ’24US$9.10
US$10.66
+17.1%
39.9%US$21.00US$5.25US$6.3014
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
US$9.18
Fair Value
37.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/24 22:04
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/24 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Hello Group Inc. is covered by 30 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yanfang JiangBenchmark Company
Yiwen ZhangBOCI Research Ltd.
Yiqun ChenBOCI Research Ltd.