Stock Analysis

Hello Group (NASDAQ:MOMO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

NasdaqGS:MOMO
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Hello Group Inc. (NASDAQ:MOMO) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Hello Group

How Much Debt Does Hello Group Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hello Group had CN¥4.61b of debt in September 2021, down from CN¥4.84b, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥9.29b in cash, so it actually has CN¥4.68b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:MOMO Debt to Equity History March 7th 2022

How Strong Is Hello Group's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hello Group had liabilities of CN¥2.44b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥5.04b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥9.29b as well as receivables valued at CN¥218.9m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥2.03b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity suggests that Hello Group is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Hello Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

It is just as well that Hello Group's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 30% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hello Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Hello Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Hello Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Hello Group has CN¥4.68b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥1.8b, being 119% of its EBIT. So we don't think Hello Group's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Hello Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.