Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Magnite, Inc. (NASDAQ:MGNI) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Magnite
How Much Debt Does Magnite Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 Magnite had debt of US$724.3m, up from US$388.6m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$204.6m, its net debt is less, at about US$519.7m.
How Healthy Is Magnite's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Magnite had liabilities of US$887.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$797.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$204.6m and US$783.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$697.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$1.05b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Magnite's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Over 12 months, Magnite reported revenue of US$526m, which is a gain of 114%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. So its pretty obvious shareholders are hoping for more growth!
Caveat Emptor
While we can certainly appreciate Magnite's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost US$65m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of US$32m. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Magnite you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:MGNI
Magnite
Operates an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform in the United States and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet with moderate growth potential.