Stock Analysis

What Is Formula One Group's (NASDAQ:FWON.K) Share Price Doing?

NasdaqGS:FWON.K
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Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Formula One Group (NASDAQ:FWON.K). The company's stock saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. While good news for shareholders, the company has traded much higher in the past year. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Formula One Group’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Formula One Group

Is Formula One Group Still Cheap?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It’s trading around 13.13% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Formula One Group today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $64.32, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Formula One Group’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Formula One Group look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:FWON.K Earnings and Revenue Growth March 1st 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Formula One Group, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -16%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Currently, FWON.K appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on FWON.K for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help gel your views on FWON.K should the price fluctuate below its true value.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Formula One Group at this point in time. For example - Formula One Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you are no longer interested in Formula One Group, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.