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Slowing Rates Of Return At Cumulus Media (NASDAQ:CMLS) Leave Little Room For Excitement
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Cumulus Media (NASDAQ:CMLS) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Cumulus Media is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.069 = US$103m ÷ (US$1.6b - US$131m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
Therefore, Cumulus Media has an ROCE of 6.9%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 7.3%, it's still a low return by itself.
Check out our latest analysis for Cumulus Media
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Cumulus Media compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
So How Is Cumulus Media's ROCE Trending?
We're a bit concerned with the trends, because the business is applying 35% less capital than it was five years ago and returns on that capital have stayed flat. When a company effectively decreases its assets base, it's not usually a sign to be optimistic on that company. In addition to that, since the ROCE doesn't scream "quality" at 6.9%, it's hard to get excited about these developments.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, Cumulus Media isn't reinvesting funds back into the business and returns aren't growing. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 38% in the last three years. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.
Cumulus Media does come with some risks though, we found 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can't be ignored...
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGM:CMLS
Cumulus Media
An audio-first media company, owns and operates radio stations in the United States.
Slight and fair value.