Stock Analysis

We Think Cardlytics (NASDAQ:CDLX) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

NasdaqGM:CDLX
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Cardlytics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CDLX) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Cardlytics

What Is Cardlytics's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Cardlytics had debt of US$256.8m, up from US$225.3m in one year. On the flip side, it has US$92.1m in cash leading to net debt of about US$164.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGM:CDLX Debt to Equity History October 5th 2023

A Look At Cardlytics' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Cardlytics had liabilities of US$167.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$229.3m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$92.1m as well as receivables valued at US$101.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$203.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Cardlytics is worth US$491.9m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Cardlytics's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Cardlytics's revenue was pretty flat, and it made a negative EBIT. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Cardlytics had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$96m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$44m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Cardlytics you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.