Stock Analysis

Cardlytics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CDLX) Stock Rockets 105% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

NasdaqGM:CDLX
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Cardlytics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CDLX) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 105% after a shaky period beforehand. But the last month did very little to improve the 86% share price decline over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Cardlytics' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Media industry is similar at about 0.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Cardlytics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:CDLX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2023

What Does Cardlytics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Cardlytics certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Cardlytics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Cardlytics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 12% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 42% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 5.2% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 1.2%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Cardlytics is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Cardlytics' P/S

Cardlytics appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Cardlytics currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Cardlytics (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to take into consideration.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cardlytics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.