Champion Iron Limited

OTCPK:CIAF.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.1b

Champion Iron Valuation

Is CIAF.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CIAF.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CIAF.F ($3.88) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($3.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CIAF.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CIAF.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CIAF.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.9x
PEG Ratio2.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CIAF.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CIAF.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.4x
WS Worthington Steel
15.3x7.7%US$1.9b
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources
7.2x-0.5%US$2.6b
ARCH Arch Resources
10.1x17.8%US$2.6b
HCC Warrior Met Coal
8.9x-3.8%US$3.4b
CIAF.F Champion Iron
11.5x5.1%US$3.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CIAF.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.5x) compared to the peer average (10.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CIAF.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CIAF.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.5x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (15.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CIAF.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CIAF.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.5x
Fair PE Ratio20.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CIAF.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CIAF.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3.88
US$4.91
+26.5%
9.8%US$5.67US$4.45n/a7
Oct ’25US$4.80
US$5.18
+7.8%
9.6%US$6.33US$4.73n/a7
Sep ’25US$4.09
US$5.31
+29.8%
11.2%US$6.61US$4.89n/a6
Aug ’25US$4.09
US$5.26
+28.7%
10.4%US$6.43US$4.86n/a6
Jul ’25US$3.93
US$5.66
+44.1%
9.7%US$6.56US$4.99n/a6
Jun ’25US$4.75
US$5.64
+18.8%
10.8%US$6.60US$4.77n/a6
May ’25US$4.59
US$5.48
+19.4%
12.0%US$6.50US$4.73n/a6
Apr ’25US$4.73
US$5.77
+21.9%
12.1%US$6.60US$4.75n/a6
Mar ’25US$5.15
US$5.98
+16.2%
9.6%US$6.64US$4.79n/a6
Feb ’25US$5.54
US$6.03
+8.9%
9.6%US$6.69US$4.82n/a6
Jan ’25US$5.62
US$5.65
+0.6%
9.4%US$6.20US$4.62n/a6
Dec ’24US$5.17
US$5.38
+4.2%
8.2%US$5.97US$4.63n/a6
Nov ’24US$4.66
US$4.83
+3.6%
6.7%US$5.48US$4.54US$3.886
Oct ’24US$4.02
US$4.84
+20.4%
11.7%US$5.88US$3.99US$4.806
Sep ’24US$3.95
US$4.82
+22.0%
12.8%US$5.86US$3.98US$4.095
Aug ’24US$3.96
US$4.97
+25.5%
12.4%US$6.02US$4.15US$4.095
Jul ’24US$4.05
US$5.01
+23.9%
7.7%US$5.67US$4.64US$3.935
Jun ’24US$3.75
US$5.06
+34.9%
8.7%US$5.66US$4.54US$4.755
May ’24US$4.32
US$5.25
+21.5%
6.3%US$5.56US$4.65US$4.595
Apr ’24US$4.80
US$5.57
+16.1%
5.9%US$5.92US$5.04US$4.735
Mar ’24US$5.17
US$5.64
+9.0%
3.9%US$5.85US$5.21US$5.155
Feb ’24US$5.30
US$5.73
+8.0%
3.8%US$5.94US$5.30US$5.545
Jan ’24US$4.95
US$4.72
-4.5%
6.9%US$5.22US$4.34US$5.625
Dec ’23US$4.54
US$4.40
-3.0%
10.6%US$5.06US$3.61US$5.175
Nov ’23US$2.96
US$4.40
+48.7%
11.1%US$4.94US$3.55US$4.665

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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