Champion Iron Limited

OTCPK:CIAF.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.9b

Champion Iron Valuation

Is CIAF.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CIAF.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CIAF.F ($3.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($3.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CIAF.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CIAF.F?

Key metric: As CIAF.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CIAF.F. This is calculated by dividing CIAF.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CIAF.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.5x
EarningsCA$253.42m
Market CapCA$2.67b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CIAF.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CIAF.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.2x
WS Worthington Steel
18.2x7.7%US$2.2b
ARCH Arch Resources
17.5x43.3%US$3.2b
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources
8.9x6.4%US$3.2b
SXC SunCoke Energy
12.2x-16.5%US$1.0b
CIAF.F Champion Iron
10.5x7.5%US$2.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CIAF.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the peer average (14.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CIAF.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VITF.F Victoria Gold
2.1xn/aUS$23.43m
BMXI Brookmount Explorations
0.6xn/aUS$6.20m
RMRI Rocky Mountain Industrials
0.9xn/aUS$1.76m
ZCRM.F Zincore Metals
0.5xn/aUS$852.33k
CIAF.F 10.5xIndustry Avg. 19.1xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CIAF.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (18.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CIAF.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CIAF.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.5x
Fair PE Ratio22.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CIAF.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CIAF.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3.60
US$4.92
+36.6%
10.2%US$5.69US$4.47n/a7
Nov ’25US$3.88
US$4.91
+26.4%
9.8%US$5.67US$4.45n/a7
Oct ’25US$4.80
US$5.18
+7.8%
9.6%US$6.33US$4.73n/a7
Sep ’25US$4.09
US$5.31
+29.8%
11.2%US$6.61US$4.89n/a6
Aug ’25US$4.09
US$5.26
+28.7%
10.4%US$6.43US$4.86n/a6
Jul ’25US$3.93
US$5.66
+44.1%
9.7%US$6.56US$4.99n/a6
Jun ’25US$4.75
US$5.64
+18.8%
10.8%US$6.60US$4.77n/a6
May ’25US$4.59
US$5.48
+19.4%
12.0%US$6.50US$4.73n/a6
Apr ’25US$4.73
US$5.77
+21.9%
12.1%US$6.60US$4.75n/a6
Mar ’25US$5.15
US$5.98
+16.2%
9.6%US$6.64US$4.79n/a6
Feb ’25US$5.54
US$6.03
+8.9%
9.6%US$6.69US$4.82n/a6
Jan ’25US$5.62
US$5.65
+0.6%
9.4%US$6.20US$4.62n/a6
Dec ’24US$5.17
US$5.38
+4.2%
8.2%US$5.97US$4.63n/a6
Nov ’24US$4.66
US$4.83
+3.6%
6.7%US$5.48US$4.54US$3.886
Oct ’24US$4.02
US$4.84
+20.4%
11.7%US$5.88US$3.99US$4.806
Sep ’24US$3.95
US$4.82
+22.0%
12.8%US$5.86US$3.98US$4.095
Aug ’24US$3.96
US$4.97
+25.5%
12.4%US$6.02US$4.15US$4.095
Jul ’24US$4.05
US$5.01
+23.9%
7.7%US$5.67US$4.64US$3.935
Jun ’24US$3.75
US$5.06
+34.9%
8.7%US$5.66US$4.54US$4.755
May ’24US$4.32
US$5.25
+21.5%
6.3%US$5.56US$4.65US$4.595
Apr ’24US$4.80
US$5.57
+16.1%
5.9%US$5.92US$5.04US$4.735
Mar ’24US$5.17
US$5.64
+9.0%
3.9%US$5.85US$5.21US$5.155
Feb ’24US$5.30
US$5.73
+8.0%
3.8%US$5.94US$5.30US$5.545
Jan ’24US$4.95
US$4.72
-4.5%
6.9%US$5.22US$4.34US$5.625
Dec ’23US$4.54
US$4.40
-3.0%
10.6%US$5.06US$3.61US$5.175
Nov ’23US$2.96
US$4.40
+48.7%
11.1%US$4.94US$3.55US$4.665

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

Huntsman

US$3.4b

Manufactures and sells diversified organic chemical products worldwide.

HUN

US$19.58

7D

0.8%

1Y

-20.4%

CMOC Group

HK$159.6b

Engages in the mining, beneficiation, smelting, and refining of base and rare metals.

CMCL.F

HK$0.70

7D

-9.4%

1Y

19.6%

Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund

CA$1.4b

Offers industrial chemicals and services in Canada, the United States, and South America.

CGIF.F

CA$8.16

7D

-0.5%

1Y

25.0%