CCL Industries Valuation

Is CCDB.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CCDB.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CCDB.F ($55.32) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($102.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CCDB.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CCDB.F?

Key metric: As CCDB.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CCDB.F. This is calculated by dividing CCDB.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CCDB.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.6x
EarningsCA$702.10m
Market CapCA$13.80b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CCDB.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CCDB.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45.6x
ATR AptarGroup
34.2x7.9%US$11.4b
CCK Crown Holdings
111.7x40.6%US$11.0b
BERY Berry Global Group
16x6.5%US$8.3b
SLGN Silgan Holdings
20.6x14.0%US$6.0b
CCDB.F CCL Industries
19.6x8.4%US$13.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CCDB.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the peer average (45.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CCDB.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Packaging Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CCDB.F 19.6xIndustry Avg. 19.7xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CCDB.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the North American Packaging industry average (19.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CCDB.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CCDB.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.6x
Fair PE Ratio18.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CCDB.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CCDB.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$55.32
US$64.29
+16.2%
3.9%US$68.73US$60.85n/a10
Nov ’25US$58.64
US$64.64
+10.2%
4.6%US$71.02US$60.87n/a10
Oct ’25US$60.26
US$64.57
+7.2%
3.0%US$67.66US$61.77n/a10
Sep ’25US$57.08
US$62.68
+9.8%
2.8%US$66.98US$60.43n/a11
Aug ’25US$53.18
US$61.30
+15.3%
2.8%US$65.75US$58.45n/a11
Jul ’25US$50.00
US$60.78
+21.6%
2.7%US$65.40US$58.13n/a11
Jun ’25US$50.44
US$60.94
+20.8%
3.0%US$65.94US$58.61n/a11
May ’25US$51.85
US$59.32
+14.4%
2.4%US$61.31US$56.93n/a11
Apr ’25US$51.18
US$60.11
+17.4%
2.2%US$62.41US$57.95n/a10
Mar ’25US$50.72
US$59.23
+16.8%
3.0%US$61.45US$54.79n/a10
Feb ’25US$43.10
US$54.49
+26.4%
5.0%US$59.05US$48.59n/a10
Jan ’25US$44.94
US$54.49
+21.3%
5.0%US$59.05US$48.59n/a10
Dec ’24US$42.28
US$53.77
+27.2%
5.0%US$58.19US$47.88n/a10
Nov ’24US$39.23
US$56.70
+44.5%
3.9%US$60.24US$52.80US$58.648
Oct ’24US$42.60
US$56.70
+33.1%
3.9%US$60.24US$52.80US$60.268
Sep ’24US$44.72
US$56.70
+26.8%
3.9%US$60.24US$52.80US$57.088
Aug ’24US$47.58
US$58.08
+22.1%
3.6%US$61.00US$53.47US$53.188
Jul ’24US$49.17
US$56.71
+15.3%
3.4%US$59.57US$52.21US$50.009
Jun ’24US$46.71
US$56.71
+21.4%
3.4%US$59.57US$52.21US$50.449
May ’24US$46.91
US$55.17
+17.6%
3.8%US$58.11US$52.23US$51.859
Apr ’24US$49.67
US$55.17
+11.1%
3.8%US$58.11US$52.23US$51.189
Mar ’24US$45.28
US$55.41
+22.4%
3.9%US$58.19US$52.30US$50.729
Feb ’24US$46.78
US$56.69
+21.2%
3.9%US$60.20US$53.43US$43.109
Jan ’24US$43.11
US$55.28
+28.2%
4.2%US$60.04US$51.98US$44.9410
Dec ’23US$47.30
US$56.84
+20.2%
4.3%US$61.41US$53.17US$42.2810
Nov ’23US$45.01
US$57.01
+26.7%
4.7%US$61.08US$53.08US$39.2310

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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