Crown Holdings Valuation

Is CCK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CCK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CCK ($78.51) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($158.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CCK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CCK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CCK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.9x
PEG Ratio1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CCK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CCK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.8x
ATR AptarGroup
33.6x9.1%US$9.5b
BERY Berry Global Group
12.5x13.4%US$7.0b
SLGN Silgan Holdings
15.4x5.1%US$5.0b
BALL Ball
29.9x11.0%US$21.1b
CCK Crown Holdings
20.8x13.8%US$9.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CCK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x) compared to the peer average (22.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CCK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Packaging Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CCK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x) compared to the North American Packaging industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CCK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CCK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.8x
Fair PE Ratio20.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CCK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CCK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$78.51
US$92.93
+18.4%
8.4%US$112.00US$78.00n/a18
Mar ’25US$76.32
US$93.98
+23.1%
8.5%US$112.00US$78.00n/a17
Feb ’25US$89.65
US$104.13
+16.2%
9.9%US$118.00US$86.00n/a15
Jan ’25US$92.09
US$99.71
+8.3%
11.6%US$118.00US$75.00n/a14
Dec ’24US$88.04
US$99.07
+12.5%
11.2%US$118.00US$75.00n/a15
Nov ’24US$80.91
US$100.83
+24.6%
10.9%US$118.00US$75.00n/a15
Oct ’24US$88.48
US$105.63
+19.4%
10.7%US$128.00US$86.00n/a15
Sep ’24US$93.87
US$104.97
+11.8%
10.4%US$128.00US$86.00n/a17
Aug ’24US$92.97
US$104.68
+12.6%
10.8%US$128.00US$86.00n/a17
Jul ’24US$86.87
US$98.88
+13.8%
8.5%US$112.00US$80.00n/a17
Jun ’24US$77.29
US$99.35
+28.5%
8.5%US$112.00US$80.00n/a17
May ’24US$85.51
US$99.35
+16.2%
8.5%US$112.00US$80.00n/a17
Apr ’24US$82.71
US$99.35
+20.1%
9.6%US$121.00US$79.00n/a17
Mar ’24US$86.00
US$99.76
+16.0%
8.8%US$121.00US$86.00US$76.3217
Feb ’24US$89.01
US$94.75
+6.4%
11.0%US$106.00US$71.00US$89.6516
Jan ’24US$82.21
US$93.06
+13.2%
12.0%US$110.00US$71.00US$92.0917
Dec ’23US$82.73
US$92.35
+11.6%
12.3%US$110.00US$71.00US$88.0417
Nov ’23US$68.96
US$92.35
+33.9%
12.3%US$110.00US$71.00US$80.9117
Oct ’23US$81.03
US$122.06
+50.6%
10.8%US$151.00US$100.00US$88.4817
Sep ’23US$91.02
US$123.25
+35.4%
10.1%US$151.00US$103.00US$93.8716
Aug ’23US$100.67
US$123.88
+23.1%
10.0%US$151.00US$103.00US$92.9716
Jul ’23US$93.00
US$136.75
+47.0%
10.6%US$165.00US$110.00US$86.8716
Jun ’23US$104.34
US$139.25
+33.5%
9.3%US$165.00US$118.00US$77.2916
May ’23US$110.04
US$141.75
+28.8%
8.1%US$165.00US$123.00US$85.5116
Apr ’23US$125.76
US$141.19
+12.3%
7.4%US$165.00US$128.00US$82.7116
Mar ’23US$119.02
US$140.56
+18.1%
7.6%US$165.00US$128.00US$86.0016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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