Ball Valuation

Is BALL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BALL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BALL ($60.42) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($113.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BALL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BALL?

Key metric: As BALL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BALL. This is calculated by dividing BALL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BALL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24x
EarningsUS$752.00m
Market CapUS$17.88b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BALL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BALL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average44.4x
ATR AptarGroup
33.4x7.9%US$11.1b
CCK Crown Holdings
108.9x40.6%US$10.6b
BERY Berry Global Group
15.3x10.7%US$7.6b
SLGN Silgan Holdings
19.8x14.0%US$5.8b
BALL Ball
24x-22.1%US$17.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BALL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24x) compared to the peer average (44.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BALL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Packaging Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BALL 24.0xIndustry Avg. 19.7xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BALL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24x) compared to the North American Packaging industry average (19.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BALL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BALL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24x
Fair PE Ratio10.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BALL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BALL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$60.42
US$70.25
+16.3%
10.8%US$83.00US$60.00n/a15
Nov ’25US$59.01
US$70.45
+19.4%
11.2%US$83.00US$60.00n/a15
Oct ’25US$67.61
US$71.12
+5.2%
11.2%US$83.00US$59.00n/a17
Sep ’25US$63.81
US$70.59
+10.6%
11.0%US$83.00US$59.00n/a17
Aug ’25US$64.54
US$71.06
+10.1%
11.2%US$83.00US$56.00n/a17
Jul ’25US$59.55
US$71.70
+20.4%
10.6%US$83.00US$57.00n/a17
Jun ’25US$69.43
US$71.06
+2.4%
10.5%US$83.00US$57.00n/a16
May ’25US$68.28
US$70.64
+3.5%
10.4%US$83.00US$57.00n/a17
Apr ’25US$67.84
US$65.11
-4.0%
10.6%US$78.00US$50.00n/a17
Mar ’25US$64.28
US$62.46
-2.8%
10.7%US$74.00US$50.00n/a15
Feb ’25US$59.41
US$58.90
-0.9%
11.4%US$75.00US$50.00n/a16
Jan ’25US$57.52
US$58.23
+1.2%
12.6%US$75.00US$46.00n/a15
Dec ’24US$56.34
US$56.90
+1.0%
11.8%US$75.00US$46.00n/a15
Nov ’24US$47.55
US$57.77
+21.5%
11.0%US$75.00US$46.00US$59.0115
Oct ’24US$49.78
US$60.03
+20.6%
9.4%US$75.00US$52.00US$67.6115
Sep ’24US$54.93
US$60.99
+11.0%
8.0%US$75.00US$55.00US$63.8117
Aug ’24US$58.08
US$60.46
+4.1%
8.1%US$75.00US$54.00US$64.5417
Jul ’24US$58.21
US$60.72
+4.3%
8.1%US$75.00US$54.00US$59.5518
Jun ’24US$51.63
US$60.45
+17.1%
8.4%US$75.00US$52.00US$69.4319
May ’24US$53.63
US$59.24
+10.5%
8.9%US$76.00US$51.00US$68.2819
Apr ’24US$55.11
US$59.92
+8.7%
9.6%US$76.00US$51.00US$67.8419
Mar ’24US$54.66
US$59.92
+9.6%
9.6%US$76.00US$51.00US$64.2819
Feb ’24US$58.44
US$57.18
-2.2%
12.3%US$78.00US$46.00US$59.4119
Jan ’24US$51.14
US$56.62
+10.7%
13.1%US$78.00US$46.00US$57.5220
Dec ’23US$55.85
US$56.63
+1.4%
13.8%US$78.00US$46.00US$56.3419
Nov ’23US$49.46
US$58.58
+18.4%
17.8%US$90.00US$46.00US$47.5519

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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