TRX Gold Valuation

Is TRX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TRX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate TRX's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate TRX's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TRX?

Key metric: As TRX is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TRX. This is calculated by dividing TRX's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TRX's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.7x
SalesUS$36.72m
Market CapUS$99.98m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TRX's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TRX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8x
GROY Gold Royalty
27.5x35.9%US$216.7m
CMCL Caledonia Mining
1.2x1.8%US$206.2m
FTCO Fortitude Gold
3.3xn/aUS$131.7m
VITF.F Victoria Gold
0.08x-123.7%US$23.4m
TRX TRX Gold
2.7x47.8%US$139.8m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TRX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.7x) compared to the peer average (8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TRX's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

24 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TX Ternium
0.4x2.7%US$6.56b
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs
0.3x4.3%US$6.15b
ARNC Arconic
0.4x5.8%US$3.01b
CSTM Constellium
0.3x9.3%US$1.80b
TRX 2.7xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies24PS01.63.24.86.48+
24 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TRX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.7x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TRX's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TRX PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.7x
Fair PS Ratio5.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: TRX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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