Valvoline (VVV) Stock Overview
Provides automotive preventive maintenance through its retail stores in the United States and Canada. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 0/6 |
| Future Growth | 5/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
VVV Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Valvoline Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$35.62 |
| 52 Week High | US$41.33 |
| 52 Week Low | US$28.50 |
| Beta | 1.04 |
| 1 Month Change | 5.48% |
| 3 Month Change | -6.24% |
| 1 Year Change | 1.83% |
| 3 Year Change | -7.26% |
| 5 Year Change | 12.33% |
| Change since IPO | 54.20% |
Recent News & Updates
Seeking Alpha • May 09
Valvoline: The Growth Story Stands Undisrupted
Summary Valvoline Inc. reported strong Q2 results. The report was the first full quarter with Breeze Autocare included. VVV's same-store momentum accelerated, driven by strategic initiatives and a favorable macroeconomic environment in the quarter. The earnings outlook was raised despite the Iran conflict's impact on VVV through higher oil prices. Aggressive new store investments continue to create growth. I estimate store openings to create upside in VVV stock's valuation. A base-scenario DCF model suggests 58% upside to $57.0. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 03
VVV: Future Upside Will Depend On Execution As Mixed Ratings Support Undervaluation
Valvoline's updated analyst price target has been revised by $0.00 to $41.73. Analysts are balancing a modestly higher discount rate and slightly adjusted revenue and margin expectations with a steady long term P/E assumption, which is supported by recent target increases from several firms and a mixed set of rating changes.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 09
Valvoline: The Growth Story Stands Undisrupted
Summary Valvoline Inc. reported strong Q2 results. The report was the first full quarter with Breeze Autocare included. VVV's same-store momentum accelerated, driven by strategic initiatives and a favorable macroeconomic environment in the quarter. The earnings outlook was raised despite the Iran conflict's impact on VVV through higher oil prices. Aggressive new store investments continue to create growth. I estimate store openings to create upside in VVV stock's valuation. A base-scenario DCF model suggests 58% upside to $57.0. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • May 03
VVV: Future Upside Will Depend On Execution As Mixed Ratings Support Undervaluation
Valvoline's updated analyst price target has been revised by $0.00 to $41.73. Analysts are balancing a modestly higher discount rate and slightly adjusted revenue and margin expectations with a steady long term P/E assumption, which is supported by recent target increases from several firms and a mixed set of rating changes.Narrative Update • Apr 18
VVV: Future Upside Will Rely On Execution As Buybacks Pause
Analysts have raised the Valvoline price target by $6, supported by a series of recent target increases from multiple firms, alongside one downgrade that reflects more mixed views on the stock's setup. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Valvoline reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and one high profile downgrade reinforcing that the setup is not one sided.Narrative Update • Apr 03
VVV: Future Upside Will Depend On Execution As Buybacks Program Concludes
Analysts have raised their price target for Valvoline slightly to $41.73 from $41.60, reflecting updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following a series of recent target changes and rating revisions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Valvoline reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and at least one high profile downgrade balancing out a series of upward revisions.Narrative Update • Mar 20
VVV: Future Upside Will Rely On Same Store Execution And Buybacks
Analysts have nudged their average Valvoline price target higher by a few dollars to $41.60. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rate, profit margin and future P/E that keep the fair value estimate steady despite a recent mix of target hikes and a downgrade.Narrative Update • Mar 06
VVV: Same Store Execution And Buybacks Will Drive Future Upside Potential
The analyst price target for Valvoline has been raised by $6. Analysts point to a series of recent target increases from multiple firms, as well as updated assumptions for discount rate and forward P/E, as key drivers behind the change.Narrative Update • Feb 20
VVV: Same Store Sales And Buybacks Will Shape Future Margin Path
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Valvoline up from $40.53 to $41.60, reflecting higher Street price targets and updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Street research on Valvoline has been active, with several firms adjusting their price targets and at least one major bank changing its rating.Narrative Update • Feb 06
VVV: Same Store Sales And Breeze Integration Will Shape Future Margin Path
Analysts have modestly lifted their price target on Valvoline to about $40.53 from $38.93, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, improving profit margins, and a slightly lower discount rate that are only partly offset by a more conservative future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Valvoline shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions as they update models for acquisitions, guidance, and margin expectations.Narrative Update • Jan 22
VVV: Same Store Sales And Breeze Execution Will Support Future Margin Recovery
Analysts have nudged their average price target for Valvoline slightly lower, trimming it by about $0.13 to roughly $38.93 as they factor in reduced 2026 earnings expectations, questions around margin impact from the Breeze Autocare acquisition, and higher interest expense. Analyst Commentary Street research on Valvoline is mixed, with most firms trimming price targets but differing on how they weigh same store sales, earnings guidance, the Breeze Autocare deal, and balance sheet impact.Narrative Update • Jan 08
VVV: Breeze Integration And Same Store Sales Will Support Margin Recovery
Narrative Update on Valvoline Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Valvoline to about $39. This reflects recent cuts to individual targets as they factor in solid same store sales, questions around Breeze Autocare's margin impact, higher interest expense, and updated long term guidance.Narrative Update • Dec 17
VVV: Shares Will Benefit From Breeze Integration Synergies And Margin Recovery Over Time
Analysts have modestly reduced their consolidated price target for Valvoline by about $0.38 per share to reflect lower valuation multiples and uncertainty around margin contribution, interest expense, and integration risk from the Breeze Autocare acquisition, even though underlying revenue growth and profitability assumptions are moving higher. Analyst Commentary Analyst reactions to Valvoline's recent results and the Breeze Autocare acquisition reflect a mix of optimism on growth and caution on execution, leading to price target reductions but largely unchanged positive ratings from several firms.Narrative Update • Dec 03
VVV: Shares Will Benefit From Post Acquisition Margin Recovery And Interest Headwinds Easing
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Valvoline by about $4 per share to roughly $39, reflecting expectations for faster top line growth but somewhat lower margins and profitability as the Breeze Autocare acquisition and higher interest expense weigh on earnings power. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts continue to see upside in Valvoline despite the recent round of price target cuts, emphasizing that the core business is still capable of generating attractive same store sales growth and accelerating earnings once current headwinds subside.Analysis Article • Nov 28
Valvoline's (NYSE:VVV) Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit
Valvoline Inc.'s ( NYSE:VVV ) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due...Narrative Update • Nov 19
VVV: Shares Will Benefit From Easing Headwinds And Refranchising Transition Completion
Narrative Update: Analyst Price Target Change for Valvoline Valvoline's updated analyst price target has been revised slightly downward from $44.13 to $43.08 per share. This change reflects analysts' views that, while recent operational headwinds are easing and growth is anticipated to reaccelerate in FY26 and FY27, near-term profitability is modestly softer than previously expected.Analysis Article • Oct 22
Why Valvoline Inc. (NYSE:VVV) Could Be Worth Watching
Valvoline Inc. ( NYSE:VVV ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial...Analysis Article • Sep 30
These 4 Measures Indicate That Valvoline (NYSE:VVV) Is Using Debt Extensively
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Sep 09
Valvoline Inc.'s (NYSE:VVV) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up
There wouldn't be many who think Valvoline Inc.'s ( NYSE:VVV ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.3x is worth a...Narrative Update • Sep 09
Store Expansion And EV Risk Will Redefine Auto Maintenance
Valvoline’s price target was raised to $44.12 as analysts anticipate earnings and EBITDA growth to accelerate from FY26 onward following the completion of re-franchising and tech investments, increasing confidence in the company’s strategic trajectory and near-term upside. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts note that Valvoline's recent share price performance has been hampered by re-franchising transactions and elevated SG&A investments related to technology modernization.Analysis Article • Jul 13
Should You Think About Buying Valvoline Inc. (NYSE:VVV) Now?
While Valvoline Inc. ( NYSE:VVV ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a significant share price rise...Analysis Article • May 20
Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Valvoline (NYSE:VVV)
Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Valvoline Inc.'s ( NYSE:VVV ) stock hasn't moved much. Our...Analysis Article • May 12
Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Valvoline Inc. (NYSE:VVV)
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 17x in the United States, you could be forgiven for...Analysis Article • Apr 24
Is Valvoline (NYSE:VVV) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Apr 06
What Is Valvoline Inc.'s (NYSE:VVV) Share Price Doing?
While Valvoline Inc. ( NYSE:VVV ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price...Seeking Alpha • Feb 21
Valvoline: Gearing Up, Pursuing Continued Growth
Summary Valvoline Inc.'s transition to a faster-growing business post-Global Products sale has led to higher valuations, but I remain cautious due to debt and long-term positioning concerns. The company has focused on buybacks but is now making a significant acquisition of Breeze Autocare to drive physical growth, raising leverage ratios. Despite solid Q1 2025 results and a $625 million acquisition, Valvoline's valuation at 22-23 times forward earnings remains demanding, with positioning questions. I find the recent deal relatively compelling, but overall valuations and leverage levels lead me to maintain a cautious stance on VVV stock's investment appeal. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 11
Here's Why We Think Valvoline (NYSE:VVV) Is Well Worth Watching
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Analysis Article • Jan 28
What Valvoline Inc.'s (NYSE:VVV) P/E Is Not Telling You
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.5x Valvoline Inc. ( NYSE:VVV ) may be sending bearish signals at the...Analysis Article • Jan 13
Is Valvoline (NYSE:VVV) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Dec 26
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Valvoline Inc. (NYSE:VVV)?
Valvoline Inc. ( NYSE:VVV ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a...Seeking Alpha • Nov 24
Valvoline Stock: Growth Engine Not Fully Lubricated
Summary Valvoline's transition to a smaller, faster-growing business, has been awarded premium valuations. Despite a 12% increase in 2024 sales, it is the softer 2025 outlook which makes me cautious. Shares have dropped to $38, trading at 23-24 times forward earnings, reflecting demanding expectations amidst long-term business challenges. I remain cautious, seeing no reason to reconsider unless valuations drop significantly. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Nov 07
Calculating The Fair Value Of Valvoline Inc. (NYSE:VVV)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Valvoline fair value estimate is US$41.22 Valvoline's US$42.91...Analysis Article • Oct 16
Here's What's Concerning About Valvoline's (NYSE:VVV) Returns On Capital
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and...Analysis Article • Sep 25
Does Valvoline (NYSE:VVV) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Sep 04
Getting In Cheap On Valvoline Inc. (NYSE:VVV) Is Unlikely
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.4x Valvoline Inc. ( NYSE:VVV ) may be sending bearish signals at the...
New Narrative • Sep 02
Calculated Franchise Expansion And Innovative Service Offerings Propel Revenue Growth And Shareholder Value
Focused on expanding both service locations and non-oil-change offerings, directly enhancing revenue growth and increasing average ticket sizes.Analysis Article • Aug 14
Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Valvoline's (NYSE:VVV) Earnings
Last week's profit announcement from Valvoline Inc. ( NYSE:VVV ) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline...Seeking Alpha • Aug 08
Valvoline Q3: Running Strong But Facing Rough Roads Ahead
Summary Valvoline Inc. missed Non-GAAP EPS by $0.02, revenue was $3.75 million under the mark. Despite growth moves, Valvoline faces hurdles with high valuation, rising costs, and a shaky economy. Valvoline's recent financials show strong profits, but future projections indicate potential earnings decline. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jul 31
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Valvoline Inc. (NYSE:VVV)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Valvoline fair value estimate is US$44.82 Valvoline's US$45.16...Analysis Article • Jul 12
Returns On Capital At Valvoline (NYSE:VVV) Paint A Concerning Picture
If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop...Analysis Article • Jun 17
Is It Time To Consider Buying Valvoline Inc. (NYSE:VVV)?
While Valvoline Inc. ( NYSE:VVV ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of attention from a...Seeking Alpha • May 23
Valvoline: Premium Oil, Premium Valuations
Summary Valvoline has seen lower earnings power following the sale of its Global Products business, which has been expected. Shares of Valvoline have seen gains, but mostly due to increased valuation multiples rather than improved operating performance. While the near term growth profile is good, I fear the long-term viability of the business model in light of premium valuation multiples. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Apr 28
Valvoline (NYSE:VVV) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Apr 10
Valvoline Inc.'s (NYSE:VVV) Popularity With Investors Is Clear
Valvoline Inc.'s ( NYSE:VVV ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.9x might make it look like a strong sell right...Shareholder Returns
| VVV | US Specialty Retail | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 10.9% | -1.6% | 2.2% |
| 1Y | 1.8% | 5.6% | 31.1% |
Return vs Industry: VVV underperformed the US Specialty Retail industry which returned 5.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: VVV underperformed the US Market which returned 31.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| VVV volatility | |
|---|---|
| VVV Average Weekly Movement | 4.6% |
| Specialty Retail Industry Average Movement | 7.4% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: VVV has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: VVV's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1866 | 11,000 | Lori Flees | www.valvoline.com |
Valvoline Inc. provides automotive preventive maintenance through its retail stores in the United States and Canada. The company offers oil changes; battery, bulb, and wiper replacements; tire rotations; and other maintenance services. It also operates and franchises service centers and retail locations.
Valvoline Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| VVV fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$4.54b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$95.70m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$1.86b |
47.5x
P/E Ratio2.4x
P/S RatioIs VVV overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| VVV income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$1.86b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$1.14b |
| Gross Profit | US$714.60m |
| Other Expenses | US$618.90m |
| Earnings | US$95.70m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.75 |
| Gross Margin | 38.45% |
| Net Profit Margin | 5.15% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 469.5% |
How did VVV perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 09:26 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/09/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Valvoline Inc. is covered by 22 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Craig Kennison | Baird |
| Peter Benedict | Baird |
| Justin Kleber | Baird |