While Trinseo PLC (NYSE:TSE) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NYSE, rising to highs of US$48.99 and falling to the lows of US$27.43. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Trinseo's current trading price of US$27.43 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Trinseo’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
View our latest analysis for Trinseo
What's The Opportunity In Trinseo?
Great news for investors – Trinseo is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Trinseo’s ratio of 7.11x is below its peer average of 15.1x, which indicates the stock is trading at a lower price compared to the Chemicals industry. What’s more interesting is that, Trinseo’s share price is quite volatile, which gives us more chances to buy since the share price could sink lower (or rise higher) in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
What does the future of Trinseo look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with an expected decline of -1.4% in revenues over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for Trinseo. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? Although TSE is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. Consider whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to TSE, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on TSE for a while, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you dig deeper into the stock. Given its current price multiple, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.
So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 5 warning signs we've spotted with Trinseo (including 2 which are concerning).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:TSE
Trinseo
Provides specialty material solutions in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally.
Moderate and fair value.
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