Sonoco Products Valuation

Is SON undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SON when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SON ($49.97) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($150.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SON is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SON?

Key metric: As SON is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SON. This is calculated by dividing SON's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SON's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17x
EarningsUS$288.15m
Market CapUS$4.83b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SON's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SON vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17x
SEE Sealed Air
12.9x9.9%US$5.1b
GPK Graphic Packaging Holding
12x6.4%US$8.5b
AMCR Amcor
19.4x8.2%US$14.2b
AVY Avery Dennison
23.6x10.7%US$15.8b
SON Sonoco Products
17x42.4%US$4.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SON is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the peer average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SON's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Packaging Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SON 17.0xIndustry Avg. 19.3xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SON is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the North American Packaging industry average (19.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SON's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SON PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17x
Fair PE Ratio29.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SON is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SON forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$49.97
US$58.29
+16.6%
8.8%US$66.00US$52.00n/a7
Nov ’25US$51.14
US$59.29
+15.9%
8.7%US$66.00US$52.00n/a7
Oct ’25US$54.32
US$59.00
+8.6%
7.7%US$65.00US$52.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$56.57
US$59.00
+4.3%
7.7%US$65.00US$52.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$52.67
US$59.14
+12.3%
6.5%US$65.00US$53.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$50.31
US$60.17
+19.6%
7.4%US$65.00US$53.00n/a6
Jun ’25US$61.37
US$60.17
-2.0%
7.4%US$65.00US$53.00n/a6
May ’25US$56.71
US$60.49
+6.7%
6.5%US$65.00US$55.00n/a7
Apr ’25US$57.60
US$60.67
+5.3%
7.4%US$66.00US$55.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$56.71
US$60.67
+7.0%
7.4%US$66.00US$55.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$57.40
US$61.17
+6.6%
8.2%US$70.00US$55.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$55.87
US$58.67
+5.0%
8.6%US$65.00US$50.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$55.92
US$58.67
+4.9%
8.6%US$65.00US$50.00n/a6
Nov ’24US$54.17
US$60.50
+11.7%
9.7%US$65.00US$50.00US$51.146
Oct ’24US$54.35
US$62.17
+14.4%
8.5%US$69.00US$55.00US$54.326
Sep ’24US$57.55
US$62.86
+9.2%
8.3%US$69.00US$55.00US$56.577
Aug ’24US$59.71
US$63.29
+6.0%
8.5%US$68.00US$55.00US$52.677
Jul ’24US$59.02
US$65.13
+10.3%
11.2%US$80.00US$55.00US$50.318
Jun ’24US$59.24
US$65.13
+9.9%
11.2%US$80.00US$55.00US$61.378
May ’24US$62.13
US$65.63
+5.6%
11.8%US$82.00US$55.00US$56.718
Apr ’24US$61.00
US$64.63
+5.9%
9.5%US$76.00US$55.00US$57.608
Mar ’24US$59.90
US$66.83
+11.6%
7.1%US$76.00US$61.00US$56.716
Feb ’24US$61.20
US$67.33
+10.0%
7.8%US$77.00US$61.00US$57.406
Jan ’24US$60.71
US$65.86
+8.5%
8.7%US$77.00US$58.00US$55.877
Dec ’23US$61.92
US$65.43
+5.7%
8.4%US$76.00US$58.00US$55.927
Nov ’23US$58.60
US$65.71
+12.1%
8.8%US$76.00US$58.00US$54.177

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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