Stock Analysis

Did Nucor's (NUE) Data Center Steel Push and Capital Spend Shift Its Investment Narrative?

  • Wells Fargo recently upgraded Nucor Corporation and highlighted the company's increased capital expenditure guidance to US$3.3 billion, reflecting accelerated investments in new projects.
  • Nucor now supplies over 95% of the steel products used in data centers, focusing on higher-margin products that benefit from growing AI infrastructure demand.
  • To understand the impact of Nucor's heightened data center exposure, we'll look at how this news reshapes the company's investment narrative.

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Nucor Investment Narrative Recap

Being a Nucor shareholder requires confidence in the long-term demand for steel, especially as industries modernize and build more data-driven infrastructure. The recent news of increased capital spending and data center exposure directly supports the primary short-term catalyst, expanded access to higher-margin opportunities. However, it does not materially reduce the current biggest risk: volatility in steel prices and macroeconomic uncertainty, which remain closely tied to revenue swings.

One recent announcement that stands out is Nucor's raised capital expenditure guidance to US$3.3 billion, aimed at accelerating new projects. This aligns with the company's major expansion in supplying steel to data centers, underlining ongoing efforts to capture new growth sectors and enhance product margins.

By contrast, investors should also be aware of operational and pricing risks tied to variable demand in steel markets...

Read the full narrative on Nucor (it's free!)

Nucor's outlook anticipates $37.2 billion in revenue and $3.7 billion in earnings by 2028. This scenario assumes a 6.5% annual revenue growth rate and a $2.4 billion increase in earnings from the current $1.3 billion.

Uncover how Nucor's forecasts yield a $169.69 fair value, a 6% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

NUE Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025
NUE Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025

Seven private investors in the Simply Wall St Community estimate Nucor's fair value from US$140.34 to US$590.98 per share. While investors hold wide-ranging views, ongoing volatility in the steel market could influence future earnings and shift opinions further, explore several takes before drawing your own conclusions.

Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Nucor - why the stock might be worth 12% less than the current price!

Build Your Own Nucor Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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About NYSE:NUE

Nucor

Engages in the manufacture and sale of steel and steel products.

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.

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