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Neenah Valuation

Is NP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NP ($32) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($16.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NP is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NP?

Key metric: As NP is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for NP. This is calculated by dividing NP's market cap by their current revenue.
What is NP's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesUS$1.09b
Market CapUS$537.25m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does NP's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for NP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
CLW Clearwater Paper
0.2x-16.2%US$431.3m
MERC Mercer International
0.2x3.2%US$419.8m
SLVM Sylvamo
1x-3.1%US$3.6b
GLT Glatfelter
0.7xn/aUS$957.7m
NP Neenah
0.5x5.1%US$537.3m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does NP's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Forestry Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NP 0.5xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies4PS00.40.81.21.62+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the US Forestry industry average (0.3x)


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NP's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NP PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: NP is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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