Sylvamo Valuation

Is SLVM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SLVM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SLVM ($87.38) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($101.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SLVM is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SLVM?

Key metric: As SLVM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SLVM. This is calculated by dividing SLVM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SLVM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.3x
EarningsUS$270.00m
Market CapUS$3.56b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SLVM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SLVM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.5x
MAGN Magnera
31xn/aUS$639.0m
HCC Warrior Met Coal
9.7x-3.8%US$3.6b
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources
8.7x6.4%US$3.1b
IOSP Innospec
20.5x6.9%US$2.9b
SLVM Sylvamo
13.3x4.7%US$3.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SLVM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x) compared to the peer average (17.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SLVM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Forestry Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SLVM 13.3xIndustry Avg. 16.0xNo. of Companies31PE01632486480+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SLVM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x) compared to the Global Forestry industry average (15.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SLVM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SLVM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.3x
Fair PE Ratio16.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SLVM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SLVM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$87.38
US$92.33
+5.7%
7.6%US$100.00US$83.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$85.00
US$92.00
+8.2%
10.1%US$100.00US$79.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$83.11
US$79.50
-4.3%
10.7%US$88.00US$71.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$79.09
US$76.50
-3.3%
7.2%US$82.00US$71.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$71.97
US$67.00
-6.9%
6.0%US$71.00US$63.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$67.55
US$67.00
-0.8%
6.0%US$71.00US$63.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$71.32
US$67.00
-6.1%
6.0%US$71.00US$63.00n/a2
May ’25US$62.98
US$62.00
-1.6%
9.7%US$68.00US$56.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$61.61
US$60.00
-2.6%
8.3%US$65.00US$55.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$62.22
US$60.00
-3.6%
8.3%US$65.00US$55.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$46.64
US$52.00
+11.5%
13.5%US$59.00US$45.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$49.11
US$50.00
+1.8%
10.0%US$55.00US$45.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$52.02
US$50.00
-3.9%
10.0%US$55.00US$45.00n/a2
Nov ’24US$45.01
US$46.00
+2.2%
4.3%US$48.00US$44.00US$85.002
Oct ’24US$43.94
US$47.00
+7.0%
6.4%US$50.00US$44.00US$83.112
Sep ’24US$42.24
US$47.00
+11.3%
6.4%US$50.00US$44.00US$79.092
Aug ’24US$49.43
US$58.00
+17.3%
5.2%US$61.00US$55.00US$71.972
Jul ’24US$40.45
US$53.50
+32.3%
2.8%US$55.00US$52.00US$67.552
Jun ’24US$39.14
US$53.50
+36.7%
2.8%US$55.00US$52.00US$71.322
May ’24US$44.71
US$56.50
+26.4%
2.7%US$58.00US$55.00US$62.982
Apr ’24US$46.26
US$59.00
+27.5%
1.7%US$60.00US$58.00US$61.612
Mar ’24US$49.05
US$59.00
+20.3%
1.7%US$60.00US$58.00US$62.222
Feb ’24US$48.02
US$59.00
+22.9%
1.7%US$60.00US$58.00US$46.642
Jan ’24US$48.59
US$59.00
+21.4%
1.7%US$60.00US$58.00US$49.112
Dec ’23US$54.81
US$58.00
+5.8%
3.4%US$60.00US$56.00US$52.022
Nov ’23US$48.19
US$55.50
+15.2%
0.9%US$56.00US$55.00US$45.012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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