Louisiana-Pacific Corporation

NYSE:LPX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.3b

Louisiana-Pacific Valuation

Is LPX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LPX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LPX ($104.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($17.44)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LPX is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LPX?

Key metric: As LPX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LPX. This is calculated by dividing LPX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LPX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.6x
EarningsUS$417.00m
Market CapUS$7.33b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LPX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LPX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.1x
X United States Steel
17.3x38.3%US$6.8b
BERY Berry Global Group
14.3x5.8%US$7.4b
MOS Mosaic
20.6x27.5%US$7.6b
FMC FMC
4.1x-20.2%US$6.3b
LPX Louisiana-Pacific
17.6x3.8%US$7.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LPX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the peer average (14.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LPX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Forestry Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LPX 17.6xIndustry Avg. 15.8xNo. of Companies33PE01632486480+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LPX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the Global Forestry industry average (15.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LPX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LPX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.6x
Fair PE Ratio17x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LPX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LPX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$104.40
US$109.20
+4.6%
19.2%US$136.00US$67.00n/a10
Dec ’25US$118.20
US$109.00
-7.8%
19.3%US$136.00US$67.00n/a10
Nov ’25US$100.49
US$101.33
+0.8%
21.4%US$138.00US$65.00n/a9
Oct ’25US$108.40
US$99.50
-8.2%
19.5%US$138.00US$65.00n/a10
Sep ’25US$97.05
US$99.30
+2.3%
19.8%US$138.00US$65.00n/a10
Aug ’25US$96.72
US$93.70
-3.1%
21.4%US$136.00US$62.00n/a10
Jul ’25US$82.31
US$90.50
+10.0%
16.2%US$110.00US$62.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$91.68
US$90.10
-1.7%
14.6%US$105.00US$62.00n/a10
May ’25US$72.87
US$80.38
+10.3%
12.4%US$90.00US$54.00n/a11
Apr ’25US$83.27
US$77.00
-7.5%
11.9%US$85.00US$54.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$75.08
US$76.20
+1.5%
11.5%US$85.00US$54.00n/a10
Feb ’25US$68.00
US$75.10
+10.4%
15.3%US$99.00US$52.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$70.83
US$70.00
-1.2%
12.2%US$80.00US$52.00n/a9
Dec ’24US$63.11
US$68.33
+8.3%
12.6%US$78.00US$52.00US$118.209
Nov ’24US$54.13
US$69.22
+27.9%
13.1%US$78.00US$51.00US$100.499
Oct ’24US$55.27
US$73.22
+32.5%
15.1%US$88.00US$51.00US$108.409
Sep ’24US$64.28
US$73.22
+13.9%
15.1%US$88.00US$51.00US$97.059
Aug ’24US$76.44
US$75.22
-1.6%
16.5%US$90.00US$51.00US$96.729
Jul ’24US$74.98
US$68.40
-8.8%
15.3%US$82.00US$51.00US$82.3110
Jun ’24US$58.61
US$65.10
+11.1%
16.6%US$82.00US$49.00US$91.6810
May ’24US$59.34
US$62.70
+5.7%
15.6%US$82.00US$47.00US$72.8710
Apr ’24US$54.21
US$62.50
+15.3%
16.5%US$82.00US$47.00US$83.2710
Mar ’24US$59.15
US$62.50
+5.7%
16.5%US$82.00US$47.00US$75.0810
Feb ’24US$70.50
US$65.40
-7.2%
14.1%US$82.00US$49.00US$68.0010
Jan ’24US$59.20
US$66.20
+11.8%
13.4%US$82.00US$51.00US$70.8310
Dec ’23US$64.39
US$66.67
+3.5%
13.7%US$82.00US$51.00US$63.119

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 03:47
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation is covered by 32 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Peter RuschmeierBarclays
Ketan MamtoraBMO Capital Markets Equity Research