Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Kronos Worldwide (NYSE:KRO) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NYSE:KRO
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Kronos Worldwide, Inc. (NYSE:KRO) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Kronos Worldwide

How Much Debt Does Kronos Worldwide Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2021 Kronos Worldwide had US$466.6m of debt, an increase on US$437.7m, over one year. However, it also had US$373.6m in cash, and so its net debt is US$93.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:KRO Debt to Equity History July 3rd 2021

How Healthy Is Kronos Worldwide's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Kronos Worldwide had liabilities of US$255.2m due within a year, and liabilities of US$940.5m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$373.6m in cash and US$338.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$483.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Kronos Worldwide is worth US$1.64b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.58 and interest cover of 5.6 times, it seems to us that Kronos Worldwide is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Unfortunately, Kronos Worldwide saw its EBIT slide 5.9% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kronos Worldwide's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Kronos Worldwide recorded free cash flow worth 61% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Both Kronos Worldwide's ability to handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. On the other hand, its EBIT growth rate makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. Considering this range of data points, we think Kronos Worldwide is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Kronos Worldwide that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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