Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By ICL Group Ltd's (NYSE:ICL) Low P/E

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NYSE:ICL

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.1x ICL Group Ltd (NYSE:ICL) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 19x and even P/E's higher than 34x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, ICL Group has been very sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for ICL Group

NYSE:ICL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 9th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on ICL Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is ICL Group's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as ICL Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 70% decrease to the company's bottom line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 7.8% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 5.0% during the coming year according to the six analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we are not surprised that ICL Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From ICL Group's P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that ICL Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for ICL Group that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than ICL Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.