Stock Analysis

Pinning Down Hecla Mining Company's (NYSE:HL) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

NYSE:HL
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When close to half the companies in the Metals and Mining industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, you may consider Hecla Mining Company (NYSE:HL) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 3.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Hecla Mining

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:HL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 1st 2023

How Hecla Mining Has Been Performing

Hecla Mining's negative revenue growth of late has neither been better nor worse than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the company to reverse its fortunes and beat out a struggling industry in the future, elevating the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hecla Mining will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Hecla Mining's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Hecla Mining's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.0%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 4.8% over the next year. That's shaping up to be similar to the 5.0% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Hecla Mining's P/S is higher than its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Given Hecla Mining's future revenue forecasts are in line with the wider industry, the fact that it trades at an elevated P/S is somewhat surprising. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Hecla Mining that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Hecla Mining's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hecla Mining might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.