Ero Copper Corp.

NYSE:ERO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.7b

Ero Copper Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 5/6

Ero Copper's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -8.7%, while the Metals and Mining industry saw earnings declining at 3.2% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 10.9% per year. Ero Copper's return on equity is 26.8%, and it has net margins of 31.6%.

Key information

-8.69%

Earnings growth rate

-13.81%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining Industry Growth26.40%
Revenue growth rate10.91%
Return on equity26.84%
Net Margin31.63%
Last Earnings Update31 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha Mar 26

Ero Copper: The Correction Finally Came, Time To Step Up And Buy The Dip

Summary ERO Copper stands out as a pure-play copper producer with growing production and an ongoing deleveraging process. Despite macro-driven volatility, copper’s secular demand from AI, EVs, and renewables underpins a robust long-term investment case. Recent geopolitical and economic shocks have driven COPX and copper miners down over 30%, with potential for deeper drawdowns. ERO’s management has successfully delivered on operational promises, mitigating prior execution risks and supporting future upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Apr 27

Ero Copper: 2025 Could Be A Record Year For Profitability

Summary Ero Copper Corp. receives a "Buy" rating due to rising profitability, driven by strong metal prices and solid production from its Brazilian mines. Ero Copper seems undervalued and represents an attractive entry point given its growth potential, fantastic opportunities to improve financial metrics, and shares are 24% lower than previous analysis. The company is set for transformational growth in 2025, with significant increases in copper production and cash flow from operations, particularly from the Tucumã mine. Ero Copper's improved profitability and operational flexibility, alongside favorable market conditions for copper and gold, make its NYSE-listed shares a compelling investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 03

ERO Copper: Undervalued Growth Play As Copper Production Set To Double

Summary ERO Copper is undervalued with a 54% upside potential, driven by rising copper and gold prices, and production set to double in 2025. The new Tucumã mine will significantly boost copper output, complementing the existing Caraíba and Xavantina mines, enhancing overall production and revenue. Despite operating in Brazil, a non-Tier one mining jurisdiction, ERO Copper's growth prospects and low valuation compared to peers make it a compelling buy. Risks include commodity price volatility, operational disruptions, and jurisdictional uncertainties, but the long-term outlook for copper and gold remains bullish. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 16

Ero Copper: Attractive Price With Amazing Prospects For Copper And Gold

Summary Ero Copper Corp. upgraded to "Buy" due to promising copper and gold production prospects in Brazil and global market prices, despite short-term "Trump Trade" impacts. Copper demand is set to surge due to global electrification and AI data centers, positioning Ero Copper for significant future growth. Ero Copper's profitability is improving, driven by lower costs and higher metal prices, making current oversold share levels an attractive entry point. Bullish sentiment on gold due to the Fed's rate cut is being bolstered by investors flocking to the metal as a portfolio hedge. Investors should consider buying Ero Copper shares now, anticipating a strong rebound with expected interest rate cuts and favorable metals market conditions. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 03

Ero Copper: Wait For Better Entries In This Growing Player (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Ero Copper Corp. receives a "Hold" rating, downgraded from "Buy," due to current unattractive stock patterns. The company's growth prospects in the copper and gold mining sectors are positive, but the market value of shares is not the most favorable one. Ero Copper's performance has outperformed competitors and the materials sector in the long run, making it a very interesting investment option. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 11

Ero Copper: The Returns Could Be Staggering If Gold Soars (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Ero Copper Corp. receives a "Buy" rating which is an upgrade from the previous "Hold" rating. The company is well-positioned for future growth in copper and gold markets. The stock is currently trading at a cheap price compared to its growth opportunities. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Aug 13

Ero Copper: Red Hot But Expensive [Rating Downgrade]

Summary I gave Ero Copper a buy rating almost a year ago, when it was trading at 5x earnings, despite major growth prospects, and the stock price has soared since. Ero missed its Q2 sales target by 4% after realized copper prices came in 15% lower than the market, which seemed to stun analysts on the earnings call. Although the growth prospects remain impressive, the stock may have run too hot, too fast. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jun 07

Ero Copper: Strong Prospects But Shares May Become Cheaper

Summary Ero Copper Corp. has attractive growth potential but could face near-term challenges due to an expected recession weighing on copper demand. The company's share price is likely to be negatively impacted by the recession, but this could create a more attractive entry point for investors. Ero's growth plans include doubling annual copper production and increasing gold production, making the company an attractive investment for exposure to both markets. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 21

Ero Copper: Battery Mineral Upside But Lula Risk Prevails

Summary Ero Copper is the mid-tier Canadian copper player with multiple projects in Brazil. The company has posted sizable growth and promising financials over the past several years. Its development projects post compelling NPVs and promising upside. But a change in the Brazilian political landscape could hinder upside.

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Ero Copper makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

NYSE:ERO Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 26924292750
31 Dec 25786264740
30 Sep 25588138570
30 Jun 25536143560
31 Mar 2549019540
31 Dec 24470-68600
30 Sep 2446417660
30 Jun 24444-21620
31 Mar 2443262620
31 Dec 2342793620
30 Sep 2342878670
30 Jun 2340880700
31 Mar 2341874610
31 Dec 22426102570
30 Sep 22445139520
30 Jun 22470162470
31 Mar 22476221490
31 Dec 21490201470
30 Sep 21446207440
30 Jun 21429212410
31 Mar 21379136380
31 Dec 2032452370
30 Sep 2030931400
30 Jun 2027516400
31 Mar 2028124400
31 Dec 1928592390
30 Sep 1929458360
30 Jun 1928147350
31 Mar 1926514330
31 Dec 18233-3320
30 Sep 182191330
30 Jun 1820415310
31 Mar 1817624270
31 Dec 1714822240
30 Sep 17783190

Quality Earnings: ERO has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: ERO's current net profit margins (31.6%) are higher than last year (3.9%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: ERO's earnings have declined by 8.7% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: ERO's earnings growth over the past year (1447%) exceeds its 5-year average (-8.7% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: ERO earnings growth over the past year (1447%) exceeded the Metals and Mining industry 84.8%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: ERO's Return on Equity (26.8%) is considered high.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/06 03:55
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/06 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ero Copper Corp. is covered by 33 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stefan IoannouATB Cormark
Stefan IoannouATB Cormark Historical (Cormark Securities)
Matthew MurphyBarclays