Dow Dividends and Buybacks
Dividend criteria checks 3/6
Dow is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 4.69%.
Key information
4.7%
Dividend yield
-0.3%
Buyback Yield
| Total Shareholder Yield | 4.4% |
| Future Dividend Yield | 4.8% |
| Dividend Growth | 0.8% |
| Next dividend pay date | n/a |
| Ex dividend date | n/a |
| Dividend per share | n/a |
| Payout ratio | -77% |
Recent dividend and buyback updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Sep 07
DOW: Cost Discipline And Margins Will Drive Future Upside Potential
For Dow, the updated analyst price target is $34.69, about $1 below the prior $35.69, as analysts factor in slightly softer revenue expectations, a higher discount rate and lower assumed future P/E multiples, partly offset by firmer profit margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Dow highlights a split view on the stock, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they reassess earnings power, capital plans and the broader chemicals cycle.
Narrative Update • Aug 24
DOW: Macro Reset And Nuclear Power Projects Will Support Future Earnings Resilience
Dow's updated analyst price target now sits near $44.62, down from $48.00, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth expectations, a lower future P/E multiple, and mixed sector commentary on commodity chemicals and polyethylene pricing. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dow shows a wide range of views, but several bullish analysts still see upside potential despite reduced price targets.Seeking Alpha • Aug 12
Dow: Cost Actions And Enduring Mideast Tailwinds Make Shares Attractive (Upgrade)
Summary Dow is upgraded to "Buy" after a 20% pullback, with improved fundamentals and a 9% free cash flow yield. Q2 results showed $1.44 EPS, $12.1 billion in revenue, and $2.3 billion EBITDA, driven by strong pricing and cost reductions. Cost-cutting, resilient packaging demand, and advantaged U.S. energy costs underpin confidence in DOW's mid-cycle earnings power. DOW’s healthy balance sheet, 4.6% dividend yield, and potential for further shareholder returns support an attractive value proposition. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Aug 10
DOW: Softer Petchem Pricing And Cost Actions Will Shape Returns Ahead
Analysts have reduced the fair value estimate for Dow to $29 from $35, citing a series of recent price target cuts, mixed quarterly updates, and softer commodity and polyethylene pricing. These factors have led to lower revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and a more conservative future P/E multiple, partly offset by a modestly higher profit margin outlook.Narrative Update • Jul 27
DOW: Cost Savings And Supply Tightness Will Shape Future Upside Potential
For Dow, the analyst price target has been revised lower to about $35.69 from $42.63, with analysts pointing to assumptions of softer revenue growth, a lower future P/E multiple, and sector wide price target cuts tied to normalizing chemical prices and more cautious outlooks across basic chemicals. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Dow highlights a clear split between bullish analysts who still see upside potential and bearish analysts who are more cautious on chemicals exposure, pricing power, and capital commitments.Narrative Update • Jul 13
DOW: Cost Savings And Tightening Supply Will Support Future Earnings Resilience
Analysts have trimmed their average fair value estimate for Dow to about $48 from $51, citing a wave of lower price targets across the Street as they factor in softer commodity chemicals pricing, easing oil related benefits, and more conservative long term P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Dow shows a clear reset in price targets, but there are still several areas where bullish analysts see room for the stock to work, particularly around execution, cost control, and potential improvement in supply and pricing conditions.Narrative Update • Jun 29
DOW: Tightening Supply And Cost Savings Will Support Stronger Future Earnings Power
For Dow, the analyst fair value estimate has been revised from $48.00 to $51.00 as analysts factor in both lower Street price targets tied to chemical pricing pressure and supply outlook, as well as offsetting support from recent upgrades that highlight potential relief from oversupply and ongoing cost savings efforts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dow highlights a split picture, with some firms trimming price targets on chemical pricing concerns while other bullish analysts point to improving supply conditions, cost savings progress, and upgraded views on the stock.Analysis Article • Jun 17
Dow (DOW) Stock Could Be 22.7% Undervalued After Xylem Water Reuse Deal
Dow stock reacts to new water sustainability agreement Dow (DOW) is in focus after Xylem Inc. agreed to design, build and operate advanced water treatment and reuse systems at Dow’s Fort Saskatchewan industrial complex in Alberta, Canada. See our latest analysis for Dow. Despite the sustainability focus of the new Xylem agreement and recent conference appearances, Dow’s share price has eased in the short term, with a 30-day share price return down 14.9%, while the 1-year total shareholder...Narrative Update • Jun 15
DOW: Supply Chain Disruptions And Cost Cuts Will Shape Margins Ahead
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Dow stock from $27.00 to $35.00. This change reflects updated views that incorporate revised price targets, gradual normalization in chemical pricing, and expectations for improving revenue growth and profit margins.Narrative Update • Jun 01
DOW: Tighter Polyethylene Supply And Cost Actions Will Shape Upside Outlook
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Dow slightly to about $42.63 from $42.94 as they factor in normalizing chemical prices, some demand destruction, and mixed but generally more constructive views on supply tightness, cost savings, and polyethylene margins. Analyst Commentary Street research on Dow has been active, with several firms adjusting ratings and targets as they reassess the impact of supply disruptions, polyethylene pricing, and cost initiatives on the company’s valuation and execution risks.Narrative Update • May 02
DOW: Tighter Polyethylene Supply And Leadership Transition Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Dow's Analyst Price Target has increased from $29.94 to $42.94 as analysts factor in tighter polyethylene supply, potential margin support, a slightly lower discount rate, adjusted revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a cluster of price target changes and rating shifts around Dow, with many tied to tighter polyethylene supply, higher energy prices and conflict driven disruptions in the Middle East and Strait of Hormuz.Narrative Update • Apr 18
DOW: Tighter Polyethylene Supply Should Support Higher Future Earnings Multiple
Analysts have raised their average price target for Dow by incorporating higher assumed revenue growth, slightly wider profit margins, and updated P/E expectations, supported by a series of recent upgrades and target hikes tied to tighter global polyethylene supply and higher energy-driven cost curves. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has tilted more constructive on Dow, with a cluster of upgrades and higher price targets anchored to tighter global polyethylene supply, higher energy price assumptions, and updated views on mid cycle earnings power.Narrative Update • Apr 04
DOW: Tighter Polyethylene Supply And Share Buybacks Will Support Higher Future Multiple
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Dow to $48.00 from $38.39 as higher price targets cluster around expectations for tighter polyethylene supply, stronger near term margins, and a higher future P/E profile. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Dow reflects a clear turn toward more constructive views, with multiple upgrades and higher price targets clustered around expectations for tighter polyethylene supply, firmer margins, and a richer P/E profile.Narrative Update • Mar 21
DOW: Gulf Supply Disruptions Will Fail To Sustain Recently Improved Margins
Analysts have raised the fair value estimate for Dow from $22.00 to $27.00, citing higher price targets associated with tighter global polyethylene supply, expectations for stronger margins, and revised P/E assumptions following a series of recent upgrades and target increases from major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dow has shifted sharply more constructive, with several large firms lifting ratings and price targets in response to tighter global polyethylene supply and disruption linked to the Iran conflict.Narrative Update • Mar 05
DOW: Commodity Margin Upside And Oversupply Risks Shape Balanced Future Outlook
Analysts have raised their implied fair value estimate for Dow from about $27.81 to roughly $29.94, citing higher Street price targets and expectations for firmer commodity margins, as recent research highlights potential upside risks for petrochemical pricing and polyethylene supply. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dow reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting ratings and price targets as they reassess commodity exposure, margins, and demand trends in chemicals and petrochemicals.Narrative Update • Feb 18
DOW: Improving Industry Setup And Buybacks Will Support Higher Future Earnings Multiple
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Dow to about $38.39 from $41.52, reflecting updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E, even as recent Street research has generally moved official price targets higher by $1 to $5. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dow has tilted constructive, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets in quick succession.Analysis Article • Feb 12
Dow Inc.'s (NYSE:DOW) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 28%
Despite an already strong run, Dow Inc. ( NYSE:DOW ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last...Narrative Update • Feb 04
DOW: Oversupply And Weak Margins Will Undermine Fragile Earnings Outlook
Analysts have nudged their average price targets on Dow higher by low single digit dollars, citing recent target raises from firms such as Citi, UBS, Jefferies, RBC Capital, and Mizuho. One reduction from BofA reflects more cautious views on oversupply and mixed sector conditions.Narrative Update • Jan 21
DOW: Cost Discipline And Mixed Industry Backdrop Shape Balanced Future Prospects
Narrative Update on Dow Analysts have nudged their average price target on Dow slightly higher by about US$4, reflecting updated expectations around revenue growth, profitability, and future P/E assumptions following recent sector and company specific research. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split view on Dow, with some price targets moving higher and at least one trim, while ratings generally sit in the middle of the road.Narrative Update • Jan 07
DOW: Cost Driven Earnings Will Prove Fragile In Weak Commodity Cycle
Narrative Update on Dow Analysts have nudged their average price target on Dow higher to around the mid 20s. This reflects mixed views that balance recent cost driven earnings strength with ongoing caution around the durability of commodity and end market demand.Narrative Update • Dec 18
DOW: Cost Controls And AI Modernization Will Face Cyclical Commodity Headwinds
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Dow higher, lifting the price target by about $2 to reflect improved cost controls and better operating rates highlighted in recent research, even as they caution that these commodity tailwinds may prove temporary. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts continue to flag structural and cyclical headwinds that could limit upside for Dow, even after the recent rally.Narrative Update • Dec 04
DOW: Cost Discipline And Higher Operating Rates Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts raised their price target for Dow Inc. by $3 to $27, reflecting confidence in recent cost-driven earnings strength while still acknowledging macro headwinds and commodity market volatility.Narrative Update • Nov 20
DOW: Cost Reductions And Higher Operating Rates Will Drive Future Performance
Dow's analyst price target has edged down slightly to $27.82 from $27.94 as analysts point to recent earnings beat driven by cost cuts and operational improvements. However, they remain cautious given concerns about commodity market consistency and the sustainability of current gains.Narrative Update • Nov 05
DOW: Cost Efficiencies And Operating Rates Will Support Upside Despite Commodity Volatility
Analysts have raised their price target for Dow Inc. by approximately $0.71, reflecting improving revenue growth and cost efficiencies.Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analysts Adjust Dow Price Target Amid Uncertainty Highlighted in Recent Earnings and Valuation Updates
Analysts have lowered their fair value price target for Dow by approximately $0.59 to $27.24. They cite a weaker macroeconomic outlook, softer industrial demand, and ongoing concerns about the company's earnings trajectory.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Capital Adjustments And Cost Cuts Will Support Cash Flow
Narrative Update on Dow: Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have reduced their price target for Dow to $26 from $30, citing ongoing challenges such as weak earnings prospects, risks to exports due to tariffs, and an anticipated dividend cut. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from Street research have highlighted both optimistic and cautious perspectives on Dow's outlook amid challenging market conditions.Narrative Update • Sep 24
Capital Adjustments And Cost Cuts Will Support Cash Flow
Dow’s price target was revised downward to $28.24 as analysts cited weak earnings visibility, pressure on commodity chemical profitability, ongoing trade and pricing headwinds, and a dividend cut reflecting heightened balance sheet caution. Analyst Commentary Ongoing weak earnings outlook and reduced profitability in core commodity chemicals.Narrative Update • Sep 09
Capital Adjustments And Cost Cuts Will Support Cash Flow
Dow’s consensus price target was modestly lowered to $28.65 as analysts cite persistently weak demand, soft pricing, ongoing risks to export volumes, reduced EBITDA forecasts, and the heightened possibility of a dividend cut amid sustained earnings pressure. Analyst Commentary Persistently weak operating environment and soft demand across Dow’s end markets continue to depress pricing and volumes.Seeking Alpha • Apr 25
Dow Moves To A Crisis Footing As Downside Risks Build (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Dow's shares have underperformed due to weak pricing power, manufacturing activity, and Chinese construction market, with a 40% drop since my last "buy" recommendation. Given weak results, Dow is aggressively cutting costs and improving liquidity, including job cuts, delaying projects, and selling assets to preserve cash. The 9.6% dividend yield is at risk, especially if the economy worsens, with a potential 25-50% chance of a significant cut. Given the uncertain macro environment and trade tensions, I downgrade Dow to a "hold," given it may have to prioritize its balance sheet over shareholders. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 20
Dow: Wait And See For The Cycle To Turn
Summary Dow Inc. faces challenges with slowing sales, margin pressures, and a potentially unsustainable 7.46% dividend yield amid a tough global environment. The company’s segments, particularly Packaging & Specialty Plastics and Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, are experiencing declining sales due to oversupply and weak global demand. Despite strategic cost-cutting and reduced CapEx plans, Dow's valuation metrics and negative free cash flow raise concerns about its financial health. Given the cyclical nature of the business and current market conditions, I rate Dow as a hold, awaiting a positive market cycle. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 13
Dow Is An Excessively Cheap Materials Stock (Technical Analysis)
Summary Despite net negative technicals, there were key bottoming signs for the stock in the indicators and so a bullish reversal may be near. Q4 earnings were a bit disappointing but revenue growth remains at above average levels compared to past years. The P/S ratio's major contraction reflects undervaluation in the stock as it is disconnected from the financials and is at an excessive discount to the sector. I initiate Dow stock at a buy rating as the potential for a bullish reversal is high and the fundamental setup is appealing at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 10
Tough Environment Offers A Cyclical Buying Opportunity For Dow
Summary Dow's stock has been declining due to weak earnings and revenue, but the dividend is very attractive and potentially sustainable. Short-term challenges include high feedstock costs and planned maintenance, but long-term prospects are promising with economic recovery and cost-saving measures. The Texas-8 Cracker's return to full production and the Path2Zero program are expected to boost future earnings significantly. Despite current struggles, Dow's strong balance sheet and strategic partnerships position it well for a cyclical rebound, making it a buy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaStability and Growth of Payments
Fetching dividends data
Stable Dividend: DOW has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years and during this time payments have been volatile.
Growing Dividend: DOW has only been paying a dividend for 7 years, and since then payments have fallen.
Dividend Yield vs Market
| Dow Dividend Yield vs Market |
|---|
| Segment | Dividend Yield |
|---|---|
| Company (DOW) | 4.7% |
| Market Bottom 25% (US) | 1.4% |
| Market Top 25% (US) | 4.1% |
| Industry Average (Chemicals) | 1.8% |
| Analyst forecast (DOW) (up to 3 years) | 4.8% |
Notable Dividend: DOW's dividend (4.69%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.38%).
High Dividend: DOW's dividend (4.69%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.14%)
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: DOW is paying a dividend but the company is unprofitable.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: With its reasonable cash payout ratio (69.2%), DOW's dividend payments are covered by cash flows.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/15 04:18 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/15 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Dow Inc. is covered by 36 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| William Selesky | Argus Research Company |
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Michael Leithead | Barclays |