Stock Analysis

Is Corteva, Inc.'s (NYSE:CTVA) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Financials In Any Way?

NYSE:CTVA
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Corteva's (NYSE:CTVA) stock is up by 9.8% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Corteva's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for Corteva

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Corteva is:

3.5% = US$886m ÷ US$25b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.03 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Corteva's Earnings Growth And 3.5% ROE

It is quite clear that Corteva's ROE is rather low. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 9.2%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Despite this, surprisingly, Corteva saw an exceptional 46% net income growth over the past five years. Therefore, there could be other reasons behind this growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

We then compared Corteva's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 11% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:CTVA Past Earnings Growth October 23rd 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Corteva's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Corteva Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

The three-year median payout ratio for Corteva is 35%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 65%. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Corteva is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

Moreover, Corteva is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of five years of paying a dividend. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 25% over the next three years. As a result, the expected drop in Corteva's payout ratio explains the anticipated rise in the company's future ROE to 10%, over the same period.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Corteva has some positive aspects to its business. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.