Constellium SE

NYSE:CSTM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.7b

Constellium Valuation

Is CSTM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CSTM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CSTM ($11.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($21.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CSTM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CSTM?

Key metric: As CSTM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CSTM. This is calculated by dividing CSTM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CSTM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.4x
Earnings€99.00m
Market Cap€1.61b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CSTM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CSTM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.9x
KALU Kaiser Aluminum
27.1x46.5%US$1.3b
CENX Century Aluminum
7x-7.4%US$2.1b
WS Worthington Steel
17.9x7.7%US$2.2b
MTRN Materion
31.4x27.4%US$2.3b
CSTM Constellium
16.4x52.9%US$1.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CSTM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.4x) compared to the peer average (20.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CSTM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VITF.F Victoria Gold
2.1xn/aUS$23.43m
BMXI Brookmount Explorations
0.6xn/aUS$5.46m
RMRI Rocky Mountain Industrials
0.9xn/aUS$1.76m
ZCRM.F Zincore Metals
0.5xn/aUS$852.33k
CSTM 16.4xIndustry Avg. 19.1xNo. of Companies5PE01020304050+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CSTM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.4x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (19.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CSTM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CSTM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.4x
Fair PE Ratio37.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CSTM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CSTM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$11.68
US$18.45
+58.0%
21.0%US$24.03US$12.03n/a5
Nov ’25US$11.33
US$18.45
+62.9%
21.0%US$24.03US$12.03n/a5
Oct ’25US$16.45
US$23.75
+44.4%
3.2%US$24.93US$22.93n/a5
Sep ’25US$16.77
US$23.75
+41.6%
3.2%US$24.93US$22.93n/a5
Aug ’25US$16.69
US$23.75
+42.3%
3.2%US$24.93US$22.93n/a5
Jul ’25US$18.55
US$25.25
+36.1%
3.9%US$26.75US$23.99n/a6
Jun ’25US$21.67
US$25.42
+17.3%
3.9%US$26.94US$24.16n/a6
May ’25US$19.74
US$25.37
+28.5%
4.1%US$27.04US$24.09n/a6
Apr ’25US$22.28
US$24.45
+9.7%
5.8%US$26.70US$22.03n/a6
Mar ’25US$19.43
US$24.46
+25.9%
5.8%US$26.69US$22.02n/a6
Feb ’25US$19.26
US$24.64
+27.9%
4.2%US$26.71US$23.74n/a6
Jan ’25US$19.96
US$24.21
+21.3%
5.5%US$25.21US$21.58n/a5
Dec ’24US$17.86
US$23.72
+32.8%
6.3%US$24.97US$21.74n/a5
Nov ’24US$15.75
US$22.99
+46.0%
5.7%US$24.06US$20.94US$11.335
Oct ’24US$18.20
US$22.06
+21.2%
6.3%US$23.99US$20.03US$16.455
Sep ’24US$18.10
US$22.74
+25.7%
6.1%US$24.74US$20.63US$16.776
Aug ’24US$18.82
US$23.00
+22.2%
6.3%US$25.08US$20.91US$16.696
Jul ’24US$17.20
US$20.18
+17.3%
9.5%US$23.73US$17.79US$18.557
Jun ’24US$15.33
US$20.25
+32.1%
9.4%US$23.97US$17.97US$21.677
May ’24US$14.30
US$19.57
+36.8%
6.3%US$21.85US$17.92US$19.746
Apr ’24US$15.28
US$19.51
+27.7%
8.2%US$22.26US$17.20US$22.286
Mar ’24US$16.39
US$19.32
+17.9%
8.3%US$22.03US$17.02US$19.436
Feb ’24US$14.97
US$18.30
+22.2%
15.1%US$22.77US$15.09US$19.266
Jan ’24US$11.83
US$17.37
+46.9%
18.6%US$22.23US$13.17US$19.966
Dec ’23US$12.30
US$18.11
+47.2%
18.6%US$22.06US$13.07US$17.866
Nov ’23US$11.15
US$17.62
+58.1%
21.9%US$23.76US$12.38US$15.756

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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