Berry Global Group, Inc.

NYSE:BERY Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.9b

Berry Global Group Valuation

Is BERY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BERY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$166.81
Fair Value
58.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: BERY ($69.79) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($166.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BERY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BERY?

Key metric: As BERY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BERY. This is calculated by dividing BERY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BERY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.1x
EarningsUS$535.00m
Market CapUS$7.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BERY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BERY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.2x
CCK Crown Holdings
24.4x14.1%US$10.0b
ATR AptarGroup
26.7x6.0%US$9.8b
SLGN Silgan Holdings
20x12.2%US$5.4b
BALL Ball
33.6x17.2%US$13.7b
BERY Berry Global Group
15.1x6.7%US$7.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BERY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the peer average (26.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BERY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Packaging Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BERY 15.1xIndustry Avg. 18.3xNo. of Companies5PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BERY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the North American Packaging industry average (18.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BERY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BERY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.1x
Fair PE Ratio17x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BERY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BERY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$69.79
US$74.44
+6.7%
6.0%US$87.00US$70.00n/a11
Apr ’26US$70.54
US$74.89
+6.2%
5.8%US$87.00US$70.00n/a11
Mar ’26US$72.17
US$74.89
+3.8%
5.8%US$87.00US$70.00n/a11
Feb ’26US$67.92
US$74.07
+9.1%
3.3%US$79.00US$70.00n/a11
Jan ’26US$64.67
US$74.16
+14.7%
3.3%US$79.00US$70.00n/a11
Dec ’25US$72.31
US$74.05
+2.4%
3.3%US$79.00US$70.00n/a11
Nov ’25US$70.58
US$73.56
+4.2%
7.9%US$82.00US$64.00n/a10
Oct ’25US$67.05
US$72.38
+7.9%
6.5%US$79.00US$64.00n/a12
Sep ’25US$68.86
US$72.19
+4.8%
6.8%US$79.00US$64.00n/a11
Aug ’25US$65.65
US$71.55
+9.0%
7.4%US$79.00US$64.00n/a11
Jul ’25US$58.20
US$72.82
+25.1%
11.3%US$89.00US$62.00n/a11
Jun ’25US$59.88
US$72.82
+21.6%
11.3%US$89.00US$62.00n/a11
May ’25US$57.79
US$72.87
+26.1%
10.2%US$89.00US$62.00n/a11
Apr ’25US$60.62
US$73.69
+21.6%
10.4%US$89.00US$62.00US$70.5411
Mar ’25US$58.43
US$75.23
+28.8%
8.6%US$89.00US$64.00US$72.1711
Feb ’25US$65.75
US$77.40
+17.7%
7.3%US$89.00US$67.00US$67.9214
Jan ’25US$67.39
US$74.36
+10.3%
4.1%US$80.00US$67.00US$64.6714
Dec ’24US$66.99
US$73.43
+9.6%
5.0%US$80.00US$66.00US$72.3114
Nov ’24US$55.77
US$72.78
+30.5%
7.1%US$83.00US$64.00US$70.5814
Oct ’24US$61.91
US$74.28
+20.0%
6.8%US$86.00US$65.00US$67.0514
Sep ’24US$65.87
US$74.33
+12.8%
6.5%US$86.00US$65.00US$68.8615
Aug ’24US$64.77
US$73.79
+13.9%
7.5%US$87.00US$65.00US$65.6514
Jul ’24US$64.34
US$71.93
+11.8%
4.8%US$76.00US$65.00US$58.2015
Jun ’24US$57.82
US$71.25
+23.2%
6.2%US$76.00US$60.00US$59.8816
May ’24US$57.95
US$71.20
+22.9%
6.6%US$76.00US$60.00US$57.7915
Apr ’24US$58.90
US$72.73
+23.5%
7.8%US$82.00US$60.00US$60.6215
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
US$74.44
Fair Value
6.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/24 21:37
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/24 00:00
Earnings2024/12/28
Annual Earnings2024/09/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Berry Global Group, Inc. is covered by 29 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ghansham PanjabiBaird
Scott GaffnerBarclays
Michael LeitheadBarclays