Stock Analysis

Barrick Gold (NYSE:GOLD): Examining Valuation Following Strong Year-to-Date Share Price Gains

Barrick Mining (NYSE:B) shares have been moving in response to recent market activity, with investors watching closely as broader commodities trends and sector sentiment are influencing the stock's trajectory this week.

See our latest analysis for Barrick Mining.

Barrick Mining’s share price has powered ahead over the past year, recently closing at $32.48 and riding a wave of momentum with a 103.4% year-to-date gain. That breakneck pace comes alongside strong sector moves, and the company’s robust 69.4% total shareholder return over the past 12 months highlights growing market confidence in its outlook.

If the latest surge in mining stocks has piqued your curiosity, this could be the perfect moment to discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

With Barrick Mining’s shares surging, the key question now is whether the stock still offers untapped value for long-term investors or if the recent rally means future growth is already reflected in the price.

Advertisement

Price-to-Earnings of 20.1x: Is it Justified?

Barrick Mining is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.1x, below both its industry peers and its own estimated fair value. The last close price of $32.48 puts the stock on the favorable end of valuation compared to the broader sector landscape.

The price-to-earnings ratio compares a company's share price to its per-share earnings. For mining companies, it can signal how much investors are willing to pay for current and future profitability.

This low multiple, relative to the industry's 25.2x and peer average of 23.5x, suggests the market views Barrick’s earnings as high quality without overpricing future growth. Compared to the estimated fair P/E of 28.8x, Barrick Mining appears to be trading below where the market could eventually move its valuation. This highlights a potential value opportunity if sector optimism persists.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for Barrick Mining

Result: Price-to-Earnings of 20.1x (UNDERVALUED)

However, slower revenue growth or a cool-off in recent sector enthusiasm could challenge Barrick Mining’s strong momentum going forward.

Find out about the key risks to this Barrick Mining narrative.

Another View: Discounted Cash Flow Perspective

While the price-to-earnings ratio paints Barrick Mining as undervalued compared to peers, the SWS DCF model suggests a more cautious stance. According to this method, the current share price is above the estimated fair value, which may indicate the stock is overvalued if only future cash flows are considered. Which view will the market trust moving forward?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

B Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
B Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Barrick Mining for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Build Your Own Barrick Mining Narrative

If you’d rather see the numbers for yourself or shape your own view of Barrick Mining, you can easily build your own narrative in just a few minutes, Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Barrick Mining research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

Looking for more investment ideas?

Take charge of your investing strategy by checking out other compelling stock opportunities that could unlock your next winning move. Don’t let these trends pass you by.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Barrick Mining might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com