Stock Analysis

Does Ampco-Pittsburgh (NYSE:AP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NYSE:AP
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (NYSE:AP) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Ampco-Pittsburgh

What Is Ampco-Pittsburgh's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2021 Ampco-Pittsburgh had US$65.0m of debt, an increase on US$15.5m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$10.3m, its net debt is less, at about US$54.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:AP Debt to Equity History May 13th 2022

How Strong Is Ampco-Pittsburgh's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ampco-Pittsburgh had liabilities of US$125.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$268.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$10.3m and US$84.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$298.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$91.2m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Ampco-Pittsburgh would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Ampco-Pittsburgh's debt to EBITDA ratio (2.8) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 0.77, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Worse, Ampco-Pittsburgh's EBIT was down 28% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Ampco-Pittsburgh's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Ampco-Pittsburgh burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Ampco-Pittsburgh's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its net debt to EBITDA is not so bad. It looks to us like Ampco-Pittsburgh carries a significant balance sheet burden. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Ampco-Pittsburgh .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.