Stock Analysis
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- NYSE:AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.'s (NYSE:AMR) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.5x Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (NYSE:AMR) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 19x and even P/E's higher than 33x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Alpha Metallurgical Resources
How Is Alpha Metallurgical Resources' Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Alpha Metallurgical Resources would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 46%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 0.4% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 14%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Alpha Metallurgical Resources' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Alpha Metallurgical Resources' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Alpha Metallurgical Resources has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources
A mining company, produces, processes, and sells met and thermal coal in Virginia and West Virginia.