Stock Analysis

Akebia Therapeutics (NASDAQ:AKBA investor five-year losses grow to 80% as the stock sheds US$55m this past week

We're definitely into long term investing, but some companies are simply bad investments over any time frame. It hits us in the gut when we see fellow investors suffer a loss. Imagine if you held Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:AKBA) for half a decade as the share price tanked 80%. Even worse, it's down 24% in about a month, which isn't fun at all.

Since Akebia Therapeutics has shed US$55m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

View our latest analysis for Akebia Therapeutics

Given that Akebia Therapeutics didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

In the last five years Akebia Therapeutics saw its revenue shrink by 12% per year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. So it's not that strange that the share price dropped 12% per year in that period. This kind of price performance makes us very wary, especially when combined with falling revenue. Of course, the poor performance could mean the market has been too severe selling down. That can happen.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqCM:AKBA Earnings and Revenue Growth February 26th 2025

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

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A Different Perspective

Akebia Therapeutics provided a TSR of 11% over the last twelve months. But that return falls short of the market. But at least that's still a gain! Over five years the TSR has been a reduction of 12% per year, over five years. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Akebia Therapeutics (at least 2 which are significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

But note: Akebia Therapeutics may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:AKBA

Akebia Therapeutics

A biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutics for patients with kidney diseases.

Very undervalued with reasonable growth potential.

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