Amcor plc (NYSE:AMCR) will pay a dividend of $0.1275 on the 18th of March. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 4.9%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
See our latest analysis for Amcor
Amcor's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Amcor's dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings and perhaps more concerning was that it was 97% of cash flows. This is certainly a risk factor, as reduced cash flows could force the company to pay a lower dividend.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 36.8%. Assuming the dividend continues along the course it has been charting recently, our estimates show the payout ratio being 69% which brings it into quite a comfortable range.
Amcor Doesn't Have A Long Payment History
It is great to see that Amcor has been paying a stable dividend for a number of years now, however we want to be a bit cautious about whether this will remain true through a full economic cycle. Since 2019, the annual payment back then was $0.48, compared to the most recent full-year payment of $0.51. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 1.0% a year over that time. We like that the dividend hasn't been shrinking. However we're conscious that the company hasn't got an overly long track record of dividend payments yet, which makes us wary of relying on its dividend income.
Amcor's Dividend Might Lack Growth
Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Amcor has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 11% per annum. Recently, the company has been able to grow earnings at a decent rate, but with the payout ratio on the higher end we don't think the dividend has many prospects for growth.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. Strong earnings growth means Amcor has the potential to be a good dividend stock in the future, despite the current payments being at elevated levels. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Amcor that investors should take into consideration. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:AMCR
Amcor
Develops, produces, and sells packaging products in Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific.
Solid track record and fair value.
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