Stock Analysis

Health Check: How Prudently Does Mercer International (NASDAQ:MERC) Use Debt?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Mercer International Inc. (NASDAQ:MERC) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Advertisement

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Mercer International

What Is Mercer International's Debt?

As you can see below, Mercer International had US$1.56b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has US$239.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$1.32b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:MERC Debt to Equity History December 19th 2024

A Look At Mercer International's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Mercer International had liabilities of US$279.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.71b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$239.0m in cash and US$352.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.39b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$433.9m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Mercer International would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Mercer International can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Mercer International had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 3.8%, to US$2.0b. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Mercer International had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$48m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through US$79m in the last year. So we think this stock is risky, like walking through a dirty dog park with a mask on. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Mercer International (3 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:MERC

Mercer International

Manufactures and sells northern bleached softwood kraft (NBSK) and northern bleached hardwood kraft (NBHK) pulp in the United States, Germany, China, and internationally.

Undervalued with very low risk.

Advertisement

Updated Narratives

SW
DXC logo
swift11 on DXC Technology ·

CEO: We are winners in the long term in the AI world

Fair Value:US$17.4624.9% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25158.0% overvalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
MA
MarkoVT
5032 logo
MarkoVT on ANYCOLOR ·

Near zero debt, Japan centric focus provides future growth

Fair Value:JP¥7.61k15.3% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.4% undervalued
97 users have followed this narrative
10 users have commented on this narrative
19 users have liked this narrative
OS
oscargarcia
GOOGL logo
oscargarcia on Alphabet ·

The company that turned a verb into a global necessity and basically runs the modern internet, digital ads, smartphones, maps, and AI.

Fair Value:US$3405.9% undervalued
137 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$232.7922.6% undervalued
929 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative