Stock Analysis

Kaiser Aluminum (NASDAQ:KALU) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.77

NasdaqGS:KALU
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The board of Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (NASDAQ:KALU) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.77 per share on the 15th of August. This makes the dividend yield 4.0%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.

Check out our latest analysis for Kaiser Aluminum

Kaiser Aluminum's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Even though Kaiser Aluminum is not generating a profit, it is still paying a dividend. The company is also yet to generate cash flow, so the dividend sustainability is definitely questionable.

Earnings per share is forecast to rise exponentially over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe we could see the payout ratio reaching 77%, which is definitely on the higher side, but still sustainable.

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NasdaqGS:KALU Historic Dividend July 18th 2023

Kaiser Aluminum Has A Solid Track Record

The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $1.00 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of $3.08. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 12% over that duration. It is good to see that there has been strong dividend growth, and that there haven't been any cuts for a long time.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. Over the past five years, it looks as though Kaiser Aluminum's EPS has declined at around 57% a year. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. We can't deny that the payments have been very stable, but we are a little bit worried about the very high payout ratio. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Kaiser Aluminum that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kaiser Aluminum might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.