Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Arq, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARQ) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
What Is Arq's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2024 Arq had debt of US$23.6m, up from US$17.5m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$13.5m, its net debt is less, at about US$10.0m.
How Healthy Is Arq's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Arq had liabilities of US$44.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$22.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$13.5m and US$14.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$38.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Arq has a market capitalization of US$182.8m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Arq can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
View our latest analysis for Arq
Over 12 months, Arq reported revenue of US$109m, which is a gain of 9.9%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Arq had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost US$1.9m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$75m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Arq (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGM:ARQ
Arq
An environmental technology company, engages in the sale of consumable air, water, and soil treatment solutions based on activated carbon in the United States and Canada.
Reasonable growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.
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