Sompo Holdings, Inc.

OTCPK:SMPN.Y Stock Report

Market Cap: US$21.5b

Sompo Holdings Valuation

Is SMPN.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SMPN.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SMPN.Y ($11) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($24.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SMPN.Y is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SMPN.Y?

Key metric: As SMPN.Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SMPN.Y. This is calculated by dividing SMPN.Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SMPN.Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.6x
EarningsJP¥436.05b
Market CapJP¥3.32t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SMPN.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SMPN.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17x
ERIE Erie Indemnity
37.9x23.8%US$21.2b
WRB W. R. Berkley
14.7x4.2%US$23.1b
MKL Markel Group
7.7x-14.8%US$22.0b
CINF Cincinnati Financial
7.7x-39.3%US$23.7b
SMPN.Y Sompo Holdings
7.6x3.5%US$3.3t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SMPN.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the peer average (26.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SMPN.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Insurance Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1.9xn/aUS$85.49m
AORE.F American Overseas Group
2.1xn/aUS$16.68m
CUII China United Insurance Service
0.0003xn/aUS$3.13k
No more companies available in this PE range
SMPN.Y 7.6xIndustry Avg. 13.1xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SMPN.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the US Insurance industry average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SMPN.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SMPN.Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.6x
Fair PE Ratio11.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SMPN.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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