RLI Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

RLI is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 5% and 4.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 4.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 17.8% in 3 years.

Key information

5.0%

Earnings growth rate

4.4%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth12.2%
Revenue growth rate4.4%
Future return on equity17.8%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated28 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

RLI Corp.: Competition Mounting In E&S

Feb 02

Here's Why RLI (NYSE:RLI) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Jan 19
Here's Why RLI (NYSE:RLI) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

RLI Corp. (NYSE:RLI) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Dec 26
RLI Corp. (NYSE:RLI) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

RLI Corp.: A Resilient Dividend Champion Navigating 2024 With Strong Underwriting And Growth Potential

Oct 25

Getting In Cheap On RLI Corp. (NYSE:RLI) Is Unlikely

Sep 07
Getting In Cheap On RLI Corp. (NYSE:RLI) Is Unlikely
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Rising Claims And Competitive Rates Threaten Profit Margins In Insurance Sector

Aug 28 Legal challenges and competition from MGAs could impact RLI's earnings in its Casualty and Property segments through higher claims costs and pressure on pricing.

A 'RLI'able Dividend Champion

Aug 20

RLI Corp.: Results In Spite Of Expected Competition

Jun 06

RLI Corp. (NYSE:RLI) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

May 22
RLI Corp. (NYSE:RLI) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

RLI Corp.: Mounting Competition In Property, But No Alarms

Mar 11

RLI Corp.: A Dividend Aristocrat Priced For Perfection

Aug 07

RLI Corp.: The Always Expensive Dividend Aristocrat Priced For Perfection

May 23

RLI declares $0.26 dividend

Feb 09

RLI GAAP EPS of $2.13 beats by $0.96, revenue of $360.59M beats by $36.67M

Jan 25

RLI Continues To Grow Its Premiums

Dec 19

RLI Q3 2022 Earnings Preview

Oct 18

RLI Continues An Aristocratic Tradition But Is Construction Exposed

Aug 25

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:RLI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20271,893318N/AN/A1
12/31/20261,895303N/AN/A5
12/31/20251,763276N/AN/A4
3/31/20251,733281588593N/A
12/31/20241,770346556560N/A
9/30/20241,765420550554N/A
6/30/20241,626338426433N/A
3/31/20241,592334460466N/A
12/31/20231,512305458464N/A
9/30/20231,439288303310N/A
6/30/20231,967714318323N/A
3/31/20231,798634275281N/A
12/31/20221,698583245250N/A
9/30/20221,661581380387N/A
6/30/20221,072170383391N/A
3/31/20221,157254354364N/A
12/31/20211,179279377385N/A
9/30/20211,160268375380N/A
6/30/20211,153281338344N/A
3/31/20211,153291325329N/A
12/31/2020984157257263N/A
9/30/2020944127246253N/A
6/30/2020918117248255N/A
3/31/202085865233240N/A
12/31/20191,004192270277N/A
9/30/2019911118235240N/A
6/30/2019915125217222N/A
3/31/2019896117227232N/A
12/31/201881864N/A217N/A
9/30/2018854142N/A215N/A
6/30/2018809104N/A223N/A
3/31/201878697N/A202N/A
12/31/2017797105N/A198N/A
9/30/201780280N/A197N/A
6/30/2017812100N/A179N/A
3/31/2017812103N/A164N/A
12/31/2016816115N/A174N/A
9/30/2016811117N/A154N/A
6/30/2016806130N/A151N/A
3/31/2016801138N/A150N/A
12/31/2015795138N/A153N/A
9/30/2015791141N/A159N/A
6/30/2015787139N/A156N/A
3/31/2015790137N/A148N/A
12/31/2014775135N/A123N/A
9/30/2014757132N/A139N/A
6/30/2014748136N/A147N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: RLI's forecast earnings growth (5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: RLI's earnings (5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (14.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: RLI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: RLI's revenue (4.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: RLI's revenue (4.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: RLI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (17.8%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/11 15:36
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/09 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

RLI Corp. is covered by 18 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Cullen JohnsonB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Matthew CarlettiCitizens JMP Securities, LLC
Casey AlexanderCompass Point Research & Trading, LLC