Mercury General Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 6/6
Mercury General has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 25%, while the Insurance industry saw earnings growing at 14.6% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 11% per year. Mercury General's return on equity is 32.4%, and it has net margins of 13.7%.
Key information
25.05%
Earnings growth rate
25.04%
EPS growth rate
| Insurance Industry Growth | 8.02% |
| Revenue growth rate | 10.97% |
| Return on equity | 32.43% |
| Net Margin | 13.69% |
| Next Earnings Update | 04 Aug 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 15
MCY: Rebounded Profitability And Balance Sheet Actions Will Support Future Repricing Potential
Analysts have maintained their price target for Mercury General at $120.00, reflecting steady assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E despite only minimal adjustments to their models. What's in the News Mercury General reported Q1 2026 net income of $190 million, compared with a loss in the prior year period, with results supported by higher net premiums, favorable investment returns, lower catastrophe losses, and tighter expense management (source: Q1 2026 earnings coverage).Narrative Update • Jun 01
MCY: Higher Profitability Assumptions Will Support Future Repricing Potential
Analysts have raised their price target for Mercury General from $110 to $120. This reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple in their models.Seeking Alpha • May 29
Mercury Vs. Safety: The Falling Knife Became The Better Insurer
Summary Mercury General (MCY) has restored underwriting profitability, posting a Q1 2026 combined ratio of 89.3% versus Safety Insurance’s (SAFT) 113.4%. MCY trades at only 6.5x TTM earnings, offering potential upside if re-rated toward industry norms, while SAFT’s forward P/E appears stretched at 14.4x–22.9x. Underwriting discipline now favors MCY, while SAFT’s combined ratio remains unpredictable, limiting its investment appeal despite asset-based valuation arguments. I rate MCY a Buy for its improved underwriting and valuation; SAFT remains a Hold due to mediocre performance and lack of clear upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 26
MCY: Stable Profitability And P/E Multiple Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts kept their price target for Mercury General steady at $110.00. This reflects broadly unchanged assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples.Narrative Update • Apr 11
MCY: Steady Profit Outlook And Discounted P/E Will Drive Future Repricing
Analysts have kept their $110.00 price target on Mercury General unchanged, reflecting steady views on fair value as they continue to see the current discount rate, revenue growth outlook, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E expectations as consistent with prior estimates. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The model fair value remains at $110.00, indicating no change in the assessed share valuation level.Narrative Update • Mar 28
MCY: Stable Assumptions And Undervalued P/E Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts have kept their price target for Mercury General steady at $110.00, reflecting unchanged assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Model fair value stays at $110.00, indicating no change in the estimated intrinsic price per share.Narrative Update • Mar 13
MCY: Steady Assumptions And Undervalued P/E Will Support Bullish Repricing
Analysts have kept their $110.00 price target for Mercury General unchanged, reflecting largely consistent assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, with only minimal refinements to the model. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The model fair value remains at $110.00, with no change from the prior estimate.Narrative Update • Feb 27
MCY: Higher Fair Value And P/E Assumptions Will Support Bullish Repricing
Analysts have lifted their price target for Mercury General to $110 from $100, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and an expected future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: updated to $110 from $100, indicating a modest uplift in the assessed share value.Analysis Article • Nov 08
Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.3175
Mercury General Corporation's ( NYSE:MCY ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.3175 per share on 24th of...Narrative Update • Sep 24
Core Business Strength May Support Future Earnings Despite Wildfire Losses And Rising Reinsurance Costs
Mercury General's fair value estimate was raised primarily due to a higher future P/E multiple despite steady revenue growth projections, driving the consensus analyst price target up from $90 to $100. What's in the News Mercury Insurance released its annual list of the most affordable EVs to insure, aiming to guide budget-conscious consumers and highlight insurance-saving vehicle models.Analysis Article • Aug 27
Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.3175
The board of Mercury General Corporation ( NYSE:MCY ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 25th of...Analysis Article • Aug 02
Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.3175
The board of Mercury General Corporation ( NYSE:MCY ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 25th of...Analysis Article • Jul 23
Here's Why Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
New Narrative • Feb 16
Core Business Strength May Support Future Earnings Despite Wildfire Losses And Rising Reinsurance Costs
Strength in core business operations, excluding catastrophe losses, suggests improved future earnings stability and net margins through personal auto and homeowners lines.Seeking Alpha • Jan 16
California Wildfires, Mercury General's Opportunity Amid Crisis (Rating Upgrade)
Summary The Los Angeles wildfires, while tragic, may present an opportunity for Mercury General due to potential market exits by other insurers and possible price increases. Mercury General's exposure to auto insurance, along with its reinsurance coverage, suggests it can absorb the wildfire losses, estimated at $150 million pre-tax. Despite potential risks like increased reinsurance costs and regulatory changes, Mercury General is positioned for growth and higher premiums post-wildfires. I initiated a position in Mercury General, expecting a stock rebound to $56-$60, driven by positive FY 2024 results and subsiding wildfire fears. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 31
Mercury General: Turning Lead Into Gold
Summary Mercury General faced operational challenges and high loss ratios in 2022, compounded by a dividend reduction that resulted in the loss of its "dividend aristocrat" status. In response to these challenges, Mercury launched remediation efforts in 2023 focused on improving underwriting margins, especially in California, where adverse conditions significantly impacted profitability. By mid-2024, Mercury's combined ratio improved, achieving positive underwriting income and a combined ratio of 98.9% by Q2, reflecting the success of rate adjustments and underwriting improvements. Third-quarter results were particularly strong, leading to a year-to-date underwriting income of $88.7 million, reinforcing investor optimism and supporting a substantial stock price increase since early 2024. Mercury is on track for continued improvement, with anticipated FY 2024 combined ratios between 96.5% and 97.8%, driven by effective remediation and investment income growth, although it still trades at a premium relative to steadier competitors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 20
Mercury General: Very Cheap, And Expert Of Maximizing After-Tax Yield
Summary Mercury General Corporation is well-positioned for growth with significant cash reserves, enabling investment in advertising and agent network expansion to boost net sales. Recent rate increases approved by the Department of Insurance and impressive EPS forecasts for 2025 make MCY an attractive buy. The company's strong investment track record, focus on maximizing after-tax yield, and experienced leadership further support its potential for stable returns. Despite some risks, including market concentration in California and inflationary pressures, MCY's proven business model and undervaluation present a compelling investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Mercury General makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 6,136 | 840 | 66 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 5,990 | 541 | 55 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 5,800 | 440 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 5,745 | 390 | 41 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 5,581 | 286 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 5,461 | 468 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 5,489 | 558 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 5,024 | 319 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 4,797 | 215 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 4,630 | 96 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 4,407 | -102 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 4,242 | -192 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 3,944 | -361 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 3,643 | -513 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 3,541 | -475 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 3,573 | -376 | 54 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 3,806 | -56 | 62 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 3,993 | 248 | 67 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 4,016 | 384 | 64 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 4,082 | 502 | 56 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 4,069 | 621 | 53 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 3,785 | 375 | 55 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 3,701 | 240 | 55 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 3,689 | 190 | 57 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 3,663 | 45 | 58 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 3,973 | 320 | 60 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 3,801 | 207 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 3,709 | 196 | 42 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 3,615 | 173 | 41 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 3,380 | -6 | 41 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 3,421 | 96 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 3,381 | 84 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 3,348 | 75 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 3,413 | 145 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 3,293 | 99 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 3,246 | 79 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 3,251 | 77 | 39 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 3,228 | 73 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 3,276 | 123 | 39 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 3,221 | 111 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 3,089 | 72 | 43 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 3,009 | 74 | 44 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 2,945 | 30 | 45 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: MCY has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: MCY's current net profit margins (13.7%) are higher than last year (5.1%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: MCY's earnings have grown significantly by 25% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: MCY's earnings growth over the past year (193.5%) exceeds its 5-year average (25% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: MCY earnings growth over the past year (193.5%) exceeded the Insurance industry 36.2%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: MCY's Return on Equity (32.4%) is considered high.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/07 21:42 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Mercury General Corporation is covered by 7 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Alison Jacobowitz | BofA Global Research |
| Christopher Campbell | Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods |
| Raymond Iardella | Macquarie Research |