Hartford Financial Services Group Valuation

Is HIG.PRG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HIG.PRG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HIG.PRG ($25.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($64.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HIG.PRG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HIG.PRG?

Key metric: As HIG.PRG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HIG.PRG. This is calculated by dividing HIG.PRG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HIG.PRG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	11.6x
Earnings	US$3.01b
Market Cap	US$35.00b

HIG.PRG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	9.3x
PEG Ratio	1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HIG.PRG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HIG.PRG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	10.7x
ACGL Arch Capital Group	6.6x	-14.7%	US$37.4b
ALL Allstate	13.1x	4.8%	US$54.0b
CINF Cincinnati Financial	8x	-38.3%	US$24.5b
WRB W. R. Berkley	15x	4.4%	US$23.7b
HIG.PRG Hartford Financial Services Group	11.6x	7.7%	US$35.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HIG.PRG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the peer average (10.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HIG.PRG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Insurance Industry?

3 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
UTGN UTG	2x	n/a	US$89.08m
AORE.F American Overseas Group	2.1x	n/a	US$16.68m
CUII China United Insurance Service	0.0003x	n/a	US$3.13k

No more companies available in this PE range

3 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HIG.PRG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the US Insurance industry average (13.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HIG.PRG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HIG.PRG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	11.6x
Fair PE Ratio	18.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HIG.PRG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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