Stock Analysis

Global Indemnity Group's (NYSE:GBLI) Dividend Will Be US$0.25

NYSE:GBLI
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Global Indemnity Group, LLC's (NYSE:GBLI) investors are due to receive a payment of US$0.25 per share on 31st of March. The dividend yield will be 3.8% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.

Check out our latest analysis for Global Indemnity Group

Global Indemnity Group Doesn't Earn Enough To Cover Its Payments

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 292% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 22%. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 30.8% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 488%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
NYSE:GBLI Historic Dividend March 7th 2022

Global Indemnity Group Is Still Building Its Track Record

The company has maintained a consistent dividend for a few years now, but we would like to see a longer track record before relying on it. The payments haven't really changed that much since 4 years ago. Modest dividend growth is good to see, especially with the payments being relatively stable. However, the payment history is relatively short and we wouldn't want to rely on this dividend too much.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. Global Indemnity Group's earnings per share has shrunk at 31% a year over the past five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future.

Global Indemnity Group's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Global Indemnity Group's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Global Indemnity Group (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.